Pedro Martinez Portero vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Rio de Janeiro Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
1:2
18/02/2025 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals
Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
78%70%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (35/59)69% (46/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (7/17)34% (10/29)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
31% (21/67)41% (24/59)
2nd Return Points Won
66% (19/29)59% (10/17)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
55% (42/76)58% (56/96)
Return Points Won
42% (40/96)45% (34/76)
Total Points Won
48% (82/172)52% (90/172)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Pedro Martinez Portero
59%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.39)

    2.3
    (3.03)
    5.2%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 37. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Martinez Portero will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Martinez Portero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bu Y.2 : 0
    2Shevchenko A.Meligeni Alves F. (WC)2 : 0
    3Heide G. (WC)Comesana F.1 : 2
    4Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Jarry N. (6)1 : 2
    5Cerundolo F. (4)Gaston H.2 : 0
    6Darderi L.Dellien H. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    7Fonseca J. (SE)Muller A.0 : 2
    8Moutet C.Etcheverry T. M. (8)0 : 2
    9Baez S. (5)Burruchaga R. A. (LL)2 : 0
    10Navone M.Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    11Diaz Acosta F.Monteiro T. (WC)1 : 2
    12Tseng C. H. (Q)Tabilo A. (3)2 : 0
    13Martinez P. (7)Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)1 : 2
    14Lajovic D.Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    15Munar J.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Barrios Vera T. (Q)Faria J. (LL)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Comesana F.Jarry N. (6)2 : 1
    3Cerundolo F. (4)Darderi L.2 : 1
    4Muller A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)2 : 0
    5Baez S. (5)Navone M.2 : 1
    6Monteiro T.Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    8Munar J.Faria J.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Comesana F.1 : 2
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Baez S. (5)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ugo Carabelli C.Faria J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Comesana F.Muller A.1 : 2
    2Baez S. (5)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Muller A.Baez S. (5)0 : 2
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