Result
0:1
11/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 21
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.23 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
69% (206/299) | 68% (143/209) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.23 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.07 | 0.52 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
69% (206/299) | 68% (143/209) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (26/71) | 38% (21/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (64/118) | 54% (37/68) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (6/33) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.39 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
40 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 75 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.52 | 0.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.48 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 40', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
- 67', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 70', Denner ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 70', Marlon Douglas ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Joao Vieira ⚽, Andre Luis (A),
- 78', Guilherme Parede ↓, Higor ↑,
- 78', Ralf ↓, Arilson ↑,
- 78', Luan Freitas ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 79', Reverson ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
- 87', Dodo ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
- 87', Joao Vieira ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 90+5', Higor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu 42.2% | Draw 31.9% | Vila Nova 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Paysandu - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.18) |
2.93 ↓ (3.23) |
3.58 ↑ (3.24) |
6.8% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Vila Nova?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Paysandu?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Vila Nova were as follows:
12.04.2025
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
1:0
24.11.2024
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
2:1
05.08.2024
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
2:2
22.05.2024
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
6:0
19.11.2022
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
1:1
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 44 |
2 | Coritiba | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 43 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
10 | CRB | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
12 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
13 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
16 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Paysandu - Vila Nova?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |