Vila Nova vs Paysandu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - Paysandu
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 2
Vila Nova - Paysandu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.68
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
83% (306/369)85% (418/493)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.81
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1517
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
83% (306/369)85% (418/493)
Long passes
50% (26/52)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
71% (76/107)74% (84/114)
Crosses
25% (4/16)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.77
Fouls
1710
Tackles
65% (15/23)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5055
Clearances Total
1617
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.810.71
Goals prevented
0.81-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Luan Freitas 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ,
  • 14', Tiago Pagnussat , Walisson Maia ,
  • 42', Walisson Maia 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Borasi B. , Patric Calmon ,
  • 46', Giovanni , Dudu Vieira ,
  • 59', Reverson , Delvalle P. ,
  • 60', Bryan , Edilson ,
  • 61', Diego Torres , Dodo ,
  • 62', Ruan Ribeiro , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 72', Quintana Y. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 75', Gabriel Poveda , Bruno Mendes ,
  • 75', Labandeira F. , Paulinho ,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
43.9%
Draw
31.2%
Paysandu
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 31.4% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 32% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vila Nova - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.5)
    3.01
    (3)
    3.75
    (3.03)
    7.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.
    • Recent matches Vila Nova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paysandu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
    • In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E. (Knee Injury) Emerson Urso (Inactive) Guilherme Parede (Knee Injury) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Paysandu were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Paysandu - Vila Nova 2:1
    05.08.2024 Vila Nova - Paysandu 2:2
    22.05.2024 Paysandu - Vila Nova 6:0
    19.11.2022 Vila Nova - Paysandu 1:1
    15.11.2022 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    05.04.2025 Coritiba - Vila Nova 1:0
    30.03.2025 Vila Nova - Anápolis 3:0
    23.03.2025 Anápolis - Vila Nova 2:0
    13.03.2025 Vila Nova - Rio Branco-VN 6:0
    09.03.2025 Goiás - Vila Nova 0:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba16103316:61033
    2Goias16103320:12833
    3Novorizontino1686221:111030
    4Avai1566319:13624
    5Remo1566317:13424
    6Athletico-PR1672719:20-123
    7Vila Nova FC1672714:15-123
    8Chapecoense-SC1571719:15422
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10Atletico GO1657418:16222
    11CRB1663715:15021
    12America MG1662817:20-320
    13Operario-PR1653817:19-218
    14Ferroviaria1546515:17-218
    15Criciuma1545617:16117
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA1636711:17-615
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Vila Nova - Paysandu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    worldWorldDisney+
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