Paysandu vs Vila Nova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Vila Nova
Result
0:1
11/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 21
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
Paysandu - Vila Nova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.61
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
69% (206/299)68% (143/209)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.230.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.070.52
Total shots
106
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
209
Passes
69% (206/299)68% (143/209)
Long passes
37% (26/71)38% (21/55)
Passes in final third
54% (64/118)54% (37/68)
Crosses
18% (6/33)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.36
Throw-ins
4027
Fouls
1020
Tackles
80% (8/10)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3575
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.520.07
Goals prevented
-0.480.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 40', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Ronaldo Henrique , Andre Lima ,
  • 67', Vinicius Paiva , Andre Luis ,
  • 70', Denner , Vinicius Faria ,
  • 70', Marlon Douglas , Benitez J. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Joao Vieira , Andre Luis (A),
  • 78', Guilherme Parede , Higor ,
  • 78', Ralf , Arilson ,
  • 78', Luan Freitas , Edilson ,
  • 79', Reverson , Patric Calmon ,
  • 87', Dodo , Nathan Melo ,
  • 87', Joao Vieira , Miticov ,
  • 90+5', Higor 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
42.2%
Draw
31.9%
Vila Nova
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 28.7% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 28.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Paysandu - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.18)
    2.93
    (3.23)
    3.58
    (3.24)
    6.8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Vila Nova were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Vila Nova - Paysandu 1:0
    24.11.2024 Paysandu - Vila Nova 2:1
    05.08.2024 Vila Nova - Paysandu 2:2
    22.05.2024 Paysandu - Vila Nova 6:0
    19.11.2022 Vila Nova - Paysandu 1:1
    Latest results of Paysandu
    28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1
    23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    31.07.2025 Vila Nova - Coritiba 1:2
    27.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Vila Nova 2:1
    22.07.2025 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 2:0
    19.07.2025 Avaí - Vila Nova 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias23135529:20944
    2Coritiba23127424:15943
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo23811424:20435
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB23941024:22231
    11Athletico-PR2386929:32-330
    12Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    13Operario-PR2276923:22127
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG23641323:32-922
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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    It is being streamed on channel
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