Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.68 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
83% (306/369) | 85% (418/493) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.68 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.71 | 0.81 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 17 |
Through passes |
---|
0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
83% (306/369) | 85% (418/493) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (26/52) | 49% (22/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (76/107) | 74% (84/114) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 0.77 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (15/23) | 76% (16/21) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 55 |
Clearances Total |
---|
16 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.81 | 0.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.81 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Luan Freitas 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽,
- 14', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 42', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Borasi B. ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
- 46', Giovanni ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
- 59', Reverson ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
- 60', Bryan ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 61', Diego Torres ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 62', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 72', Quintana Y. 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 75', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 75', Labandeira F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova 43.9% | Draw 31.2% | Paysandu 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vila Nova - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↓ (2.5) |
3.01 ↑ (3) |
3.75 ↑ (3.03) |
7.2% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Paysandu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
- In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Paysandu?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Vila Nova?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Paysandu were as follows:
24.11.2024
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
2:1
05.08.2024
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
2:2
22.05.2024
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
6:0
19.11.2022
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
1:1
15.11.2022
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
0:0
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 33 |
2 | Goias | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 33 |
3 | Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Avai | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Remo | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Athletico-PR | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Vila Nova FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 23 |
8 | Chapecoense-SC | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:15 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Cuiaba | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 22 |
11 | CRB | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
12 | America MG | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Operario-PR | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
15 | Criciuma | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Athletic Club | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Paysandu PA | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 15 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 14 |
20 | Amazonas | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Vila Nova - Paysandu?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
World | Disney+ |