Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/369) | 85% (418/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/369) | 85% (418/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (76/107) | 74% (84/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.77 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Luan Freitas 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽,
- 14', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
- 42', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Borasi B. ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
- 46', Giovanni ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
- 59', Reverson ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
- 60', Bryan ↓, Edilson ↑,
- 61', Diego Torres ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 62', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 72', Quintana Y. 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 75', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 75', Labandeira F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
43.9% | Draw
31.2% | Paysandu
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vila Nova - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.5) |
3.01 ↑
(3) |
3.75 ↑
(3.03) |
7.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Paysandu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
- In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Paysandu?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Vila Nova?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Paysandu were as follows:
24.11.2024
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
2:1
05.08.2024
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
2:2
22.05.2024
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
6:0
19.11.2022
Vila Nova
-
Paysandu
1:1
15.11.2022
Paysandu
-
Vila Nova
0:0
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Vila Nova - Paysandu?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
