Grêmio Novorizontino vs Paysandu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu
Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 9
  • Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.64
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
90% (504/562)83% (276/332)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.21
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
86
Passes
90% (504/562)83% (276/332)
Long passes
63% (42/67)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
82% (140/171)68% (63/93)
Crosses
26% (7/27)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.79
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
68
Tackles
100% (10/10)100% (10/10)
Duels won
3334
Clearances
940
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.211.43
Goals prevented
0.21-1.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Andre Lima ,
  • 16', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Nathan Fogaca , Marlon (A),
  • 41', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Willian Farias , Luis Oyama ,
  • 51', Dantas 🟨,
  • 53', Dudu Vieira , Reverson ,
  • 59', Pablo Dyego , Waguininho ,
  • 59', Matheus Frizzo , Ruiz O. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ,
  • 65', Leandro Vilela , Luan Freitas ,
  • 65', Borasi B. , Marcelinho ,
  • 74', Nicolas , Benitez J. ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ,
  • 85', Marlon , Bruno Jose ,
  • 85', Rodrigo Soares , Igor Formiga ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
59.9%
Draw
25.5%
Paysandu
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 26.1% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.6)
    3.67
    (3.57)
    6.42
    (5.93)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Novorizontino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Leo Tocantins (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Robson (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Borasi B. (Thigh Injury) Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Dudu Vieira (Ankle Injury) Edinho (Injury) Kevyn (Knee Injury) Novillo J. (Injury) Ramon Martinez (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Edilson (Injury) Marlon Douglas (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu 1:1
    29.07.2024 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:3
    Latest results of Paysandu
    21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0
    18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    11.05.2025 Remo - Paysandu 1:1
    07.05.2025 Paysandu - Remo 2:3
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba1593315:6930
    2Goias1593319:12730
    3Novorizontino1576218:10827
    4Avai1566319:13624
    5Remo1566317:13424
    6Athletico-PR1572619:19023
    7Chapecoense-SC1571719:15422
    8Vila Nova FC1571714:15-122
    9Cuiaba1564515:16-122
    10CRB1563615:14121
    11Atletico GO1556416:14221
    12America MG1562716:17-120
    13Ferroviaria1546515:17-218
    14Operario-PR1552817:19-217
    15Criciuma1545617:16117
    16Botafogo SP1545612:17-517
    17Athletic Club15501014:23-915
    18Paysandu PA153579:15-614
    19Volta Redonda153577:14-714
    20Amazonas1535712:20-814

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu?
    It is being streamed on channel
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