Paysandu vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa do Brasil Paysandu - Bahia
Result
0:1
30/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
Paysandu - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
78% (289/370)91% (663/725)
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
71
Corner Kicks
87
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
816
Passes
78% (289/370)91% (663/725)
Throw-ins
137
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
  • 36', Patric Calmon 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Cauly (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Michel Araujo , Gilberto ,
  • 46', Patric Calmon , Rossi ,
  • 46', Marlon Douglas , Matheus Vargas ,
  • 60', Bryan Borges , Edilson ,
  • 60', Rossi , Benitez J. ,
  • 66', Iago Borduchi , Luciano Juba ,
  • 66', Cauly , Kayky ,
  • 72', Borasi B. , Cavalleri M. ,
  • 74', Ademir , Tiago ,
  • 80', Rodrigo , Jean Lucas ,
  • 81', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
  • 87', Erick 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paysandu 26.2%Draw 30.9%Bahia 42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Paysandu 29.1%Draw 29.1%Bahia 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Paysandu 28.4%Draw 28.4%Bahia 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Paysandu - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (3.1)
    3.04
    (3.1)
    2.16
    (2.15)
    7.3%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Bahia?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 2.
    • In recent matches, Paysandu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bahia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • Bahia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).
    Latest results of Paysandu
    27.04.2025 Paysandu - CRB Maceio 1:1
    23.04.2025 Goiás - Paysandu 1:2
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    12.04.2025 Vila Nova - Paysandu 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    2CSETombense1 : 3
    3Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    4Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    5Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    6DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    7CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    8VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    9Paysandu PABye
    12ByeBahia
    13Botafogo RJBye
    15Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    16CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    17InternacionalBye
    19CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    20MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    21ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    22JequieRetro1 : 2
    24ByeFortaleza
    25TremBrusque0 : 2
    26OlariaABC1 : 0
    27Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    28Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    29SergipeCeara0 : 2
    30ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    32ByePalmeiras
    33Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    34Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    35TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    36IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    37ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    38PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    40ByeFlamengo RJ
    41Sao PauloBye
    43MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    44Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    45CruzeiroBye
    47Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    48Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    49SantosBye
    52ByeCRB
    53Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    54Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    56ByeCorinthians
    57Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    58GASRemo0 : 4
    59SousaBragantino1 : 2
    60OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    61Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    62BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    63Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    64BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    2VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    3FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    4CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    5Paysandu PABye
    6ByeBahia
    7Botafogo RJBye
    8Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    9InternacionalBye
    10CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    11Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    12ByeFortaleza
    13BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    14Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    15CearaConfianca3 : 2
    16ByePalmeiras
    17Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    18Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    19ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    20ByeFlamengo RJ
    21Sao PauloBye
    22VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    23CruzeiroBye
    24Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    25SantosBye
    26ByeCRB
    27Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    28ByeCorinthians
    29CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    30BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    31Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    32GremioAthletic Club4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Operario-PRVasco1 : 1
    2FluminenseAparecidense1 : 0
    3Paysandu PABahia0 : 1
    4Botafogo RJCapital4 : 0
    5InternacionalMaracana1 : 0
    6RetroFortaleza1 : 1
    7BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 0
    8CearaPalmeiras0 : 1
    9Maringa FCAtletico-MG2 : 2
    10Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ0 : 1
    11Sao PauloNautico2 : 1
    12CruzeiroVila Nova FC2 : 0
    13SantosCRB1 : 1
    14NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1
    15CriciumaBragantino1 : 0
    16CSAGremio3 : 2
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