Result
1:2
04/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/384) | 79% (292/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (302/384) | 79% (292/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (57/98) | 60% (64/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', Fernando 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Zapelli B. ⚽, Luiz Fernando (A),
- 40', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Leandro Vilela ⚽, Rossi (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Matheus Vargas ↓, Andre Lima ↑,
- 56', Habraao 🟨,
- 62', Nicolas ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 62', Delvalle P. ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 64', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan ↑,
- 64', Velasco K. ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 65', Patric Calmon ↓, Reverson ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Renan ⚽,
- 75', Zapelli B. ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 76', Marlon Douglas ↓, Giovanni ↑,
- 81', Isaac 🟨,
- 85', Fernando ↓, Belezi ↑,
- 85', Felipinho ↓, Falcao ↑,
- 90+1', Renan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
37.3% | Draw
29.1% | Athletico Paranaense
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paysandu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(3.03) |
3.2 ↓
(3.26) |
2.77 ↑
(2.31) |
7.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Paysandu in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Athletico PR is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Athletico PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Edinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Julimar
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Athletico Paranaense?
Paysandu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Paysandu?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 13:6 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Avai | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Remo | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | CRB | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 | America MG | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Chapecoense-SC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Vila Nova FC | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 14 | Operario-PR | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Criciuma | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Athletic Club | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
