Paysandu vs Athletico Paranaense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense
Result
1:2
04/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 1
  • Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.82
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
79% (302/384)79% (292/368)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.64
Total shots
128
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1212
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1914
Passes
79% (302/384)79% (292/368)
Long passes
53% (32/60)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
58% (57/98)60% (64/106)
Crosses
25% (4/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.22
Fouls
1419
Tackles
76% (13/17)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5443
Clearances Total
1426
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.640.84
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Fernando 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Zapelli B. , Luiz Fernando (A),
  • 40', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Leandro Vilela , Rossi (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Vargas , Andre Lima ,
  • 56', Habraao 🟨,
  • 62', Nicolas , Benitez J. ,
  • 62', Delvalle P. , Borasi B. ,
  • 64', Alan Kardec , Renan ,
  • 64', Velasco K. , Isaac ,
  • 65', Patric Calmon , Reverson ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Renan ,
  • 75', Zapelli B. , Patrick ,
  • 76', Marlon Douglas , Giovanni ,
  • 81', Isaac 🟨,
  • 85', Fernando , Belezi ,
  • 85', Felipinho , Falcao ,
  • 90+1', Renan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
37.3%
Draw
29.1%
Athletico Paranaense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 28.7% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 29.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paysandu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (3.03)
    3.2
    (3.26)
    2.77
    (2.31)
    7.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Paysandu in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Athletico PR is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Athletico PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Edinho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Julimar (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Paysandu
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1072113:6723
    2Novorizontino1164114:7722
    3Cuiaba1163215:10521
    4Coritiba1162310:6420
    5CRB1053211:8318
    6Remo1045112:8417
    7Chapecoense-SC1151514:10416
    8Vila Nova FC105149:8116
    9Avai1044214:9516
    10Operario-PR1042412:12014
    11Athletico-PR1042414:15-114
    12America MG104159:12-313
    13Ferroviaria102629:9012
    14Atletico GO1025311:12-111
    15Volta Redonda102445:7-210
    16Botafogo SP1124510:16-610
    17Criciuma1023510:1009
    18Amazonas101456:14-87
    19Athletic Club102088:18-106
    20Paysandu PA110475:14-94

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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