Mackenzie McDonald vs Pavel Kotov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov
09/10/2025 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals
Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Mackenzie McDonald
65.2%
Pavel Kotov
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.43)

    2.7
    (2.67)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kotov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • McDonald is ranked ATP: 99. Kotov is ranked ATP: 485.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, McDonald is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov were as follows:
    18.03.2025 Pavel Kotov - Mackenzie McDonald 0:2
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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