Pau vs Dunkerque: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Pau - Dunkerque
Result
1:1
10/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
Pau - Dunkerque - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.66
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
77
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1012
Offsides
81
Fouls
1210
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1823
Touches in the Opposition Box
3624
Passes
79% (363/462)79% (344/438)
Passes in the final third
57% (66/116)61% (71/117)
Crosses
18% (3/17)36% (4/11)
Tackles
65% (11/17)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
1830
Interceptions
916

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Bardeli E. , Youssouf B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Courtet G. , Rivera M. ,
  • 63', Skytta N. , Queiros D. ,
  • 67', Arconte T. , Boutaib K. ,
  • 67', Gasnier K. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 70', Youssouf B. 🟨,
  • 75', Mille A. 🟨,
  • 75', Essimi M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 78', Diawara K. , Beusnard S. ,
  • 78', Mille A. , Njoh Y. ,
  • 78', Ortola A. 🟨,
  • 83', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Boutaib K. ,
  • 90+3', Mohamed I. , Kouassi L.X. ,
  • 90+3', Youssouf B. , Abner F. ,

Chances of winning


Pau
36.6%
Draw
28.5%
Dunkerque
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 26.7% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 26.9% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunkerque's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunkerque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pau - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.05)
    3.29
    (3.53)
    2.68
    (3.45)
    6.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pau - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 0.
    • Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Dunkerque is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A. (Injury) Boutaib K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Yassine G. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Pau won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Dunkerque were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Dunkerque - Pau 3:2
    09.03.2024 Dunkerque - Pau 1:0
    02.12.2023 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    Latest results of Pau
    04.01.2025 Metz - Pau 0:0
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    06.12.2024 Rodez - Pau 1:0
    22.11.2024 Pau - Red Star 4:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    04.01.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 1:1
    22.12.2024 Auxerre - Dunkerque 0:1
    16.12.2024 Dunkerque - Caen 3:1
    09.12.2024 Metz - Dunkerque 2:0
    30.11.2024 Aubervilliers - Dunkerque 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Pau - Dunkerque?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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