Result
1:1
10/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.00 | 1.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
8 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 23 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
36 | 24 |
Passes |
---|
79% (363/462) | 79% (344/438) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
57% (66/116) | 61% (71/117) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 36% (4/11) |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 58% (7/12) |
Clearances Total |
---|
18 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Youssouf B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Courtet G. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 63', Skytta N. ↓, Queiros D. ↑,
- 67', Arconte T. ↓, Boutaib K. ↑,
- 67', Gasnier K. ↓, Gaspar J. ↑,
- 70', Youssouf B. 🟨,
- 75', Mille A. 🟨,
- 75', Essimi M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 78', Diawara K. ↓, Beusnard S. ↑,
- 78', Mille A. ↓, Njoh Y. ↑,
- 78', Ortola A. 🟨,
- 83', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Boutaib K. ⚽,
- 90+3', Mohamed I. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
- 90+3', Youssouf B. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau 36.6% | Draw 28.5% | Dunkerque 34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunkerque's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunkerque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pau - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.05) |
3.29 ↓ (3.53) |
2.68 ↓ (3.45) |
6.9% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 0.
- Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Dunkerque is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Injury)
Boutaib K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Yassine G.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Pau won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Dunkerque?
Pau has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Pau?
Dunkerque has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Dunkerque were as follows:
20.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
3:2
09.03.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
1:0
02.12.2023
Pau
-
Dunkerque
1:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Reims | Bye | |
3 | Metz | Bye | |
4 | Dunkerque | Guingamp | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Reims | Bye | |
2 | Metz | Dunkerque | 1 : 0 |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Pau - Dunkerque?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
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Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |