Amiens vs Pau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Amiens - Pau
Result
4:2
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
Amiens - Pau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.44
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (338/394)91% (506/556)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.932.70
Total shots
819
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
138
Passes
86% (338/394)91% (506/556)
Long passes
55% (24/44)63% (17/27)
Passes in final third
64% (47/74)81% (127/156)
Crosses
9% (1/11)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.99
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
813
Tackles
84% (16/19)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4334
Clearances
1512
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.702.93
Goals prevented
0.65-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. , Leautey A. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Leautey A. , Mbaye M. (A),
  • 24', 3 - 0, Mafouta L. , Mbaye M. (A),
  • 33', 3 - 1, Koudou T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gomes T. , Diawara K. ,
  • 47', Kante 🟨,
  • 60', Arconte T. , Bangre M. ,
  • 60', Kante , Ruiz J. ,
  • 60', Lopy J. , Ngom O. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Bangre M. ,
  • 68', Lutin R. , Kouassi K. ,
  • 70', Mafouta L. 🟨,
  • 74', Mafouta L. , Tincres J. ,
  • 78', Kalulu J. , Obiang J. ,
  • 87', 4 - 2, Mbaye M. , Leautey A. (A),
  • 90+1', Corchia S. , Chibozo A. ,
  • 90+1', Mbaye M. , Carraro Injai P. ,
  • 90+1', Leautey A. , Tine M. ,

Chances of winning


Amiens
35.3%
Draw
26.2%
Pau
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 28% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 27.6% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.
  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Amiens - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (3.33)
    3.62
    (3.34)
    2.43
    (2.14)
    6.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Amiens - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Amiens: Ait Boudlal A. (Inactive) Chibozo A. (Inactive) Kaiboue K. (Inactive) Kandil N. (Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Meddah D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Ait Boudlal A. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Pau were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Pau - Amiens 0:2
    30.03.2024 Amiens - Pau 2:3
    30.09.2023 Pau - Amiens 1:0
    04.03.2023 Amiens - Pau 1:0
    05.11.2022 Pau - Amiens 2:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    25.04.2025 Laval - Amiens 1:0
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2
    11.04.2025 Amiens - Dunkerque 1:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Clermont - Amiens 1:1
    Latest results of Pau
    26.04.2025 Pau - Metz 2:1
    18.04.2025 Ajaccio - Pau 1:1
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5AC Ajaccio00000:000
    6Amiens00000:000
    7Bastia00000:000
    8Clermont00000:000
    9Guingamp00000:000
    10Montpellier00000:000
    11Reims00000:000
    12Troyes00000:000
    13Laval00000:000
    14Pau FC00000:000
    15Rodez00000:000
    16Annecy00000:000
    17Dunkerque00000:000
    18Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Amiens - Pau?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
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