Pathum United vs Pohang Steelers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer AFC Champions League 2 Pathum United - Pohang Steelers
Result
0:1
18/09/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1
Pathum United - Pohang Steelers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.56
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
04
Passes
88% (310/353)91% (523/572)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.100.65
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1118
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
168
Passes
88% (310/353)91% (523/572)
Long passes
69% (27/39)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
70% (40/57)82% (117/143)
Crosses
20% (2/10)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.39
Throw-ins
234
Fouls
816
Tackles
33% (2/6)50% (3/6)
Duels won
3620
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.650.10
Goals prevented
-0.350.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Aspropotamitis J. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-Hyeop , da Rocha Junior J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kaman K. , Doi T. ,
  • 57', Kang Hyeon-Je , Cho Sang-Hyeok ,
  • 57', da Rocha Junior J. , Kim In-Sung ,
  • 59', Emaviwe J. , Sareepim S. ,
  • 59', Matheus Fornazari , Songkrasin C. ,
  • 60', Sareepim S. 🟨,
  • 68', Baek Sung-Dong , An J. ,
  • 69', Panya E. , Choolthong W. ,
  • 75', Lee Chang-Woo , Cho Jae-Hun ,
  • 76', Kim Jong-Woo , Hwang Seo-Woong ,
  • 79', Wonggorn J. , Pruetong T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/442rehf6

Chances of winning


Pathum United
39.7%
Draw
26.2%
Pohang Steelers
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 22.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 22.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pathum United's performance.
  • Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pohang Steelers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pathum United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pohang Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pathum United - Pohang Steelers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.8)
    3.54
    (4.13)
    2.72
    (2.07)
    7.8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pathum United - Pohang Steelers?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pathum United will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Pohang will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pathum United: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pohang (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Pathum United (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pathum United
    Latest results of Pohang Steelers
    AFC Champions League 2 Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Wasl22009:276
    2Al-Muharraq22005:056
    3Al Wehdat20021:6-50
    4Esteghlal F.C20021:8-70


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Khalidiyah21102:024
    2Andijan20200:002
    3Al Ahli Doha20200:002
    4Arkadag20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hussein22005:146
    2Ahal21012:4-23
    3Sepahan10010:1-10
    4Mohun Bagan10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr22007:076
    2Al Zawraa21012:203
    3Istiqlol Dushanbe21012:5-33
    4Goa20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cong An Ha Noi21105:234
    2Tai Po21012:4-23
    3Macarthur FC21014:223
    4Beijing Guoan20112:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gamba Osaka22005:146
    2Nam Dinh22004:136
    3Eastern AA20021:4-30
    4Ratchaburi20021:5-40


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lion City21105:324
    2Persib Bandung21103:124
    3Bangkok Utd21014:403
    4Selangor20024:8-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampines22005:146
    2Pohang22003:036
    3Pathum United20021:3-20
    4Kaya20020:5-50

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