Partick Thistle vs Raith Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Firhill Stadium (Glasgow).

: Championship - Round 4
Referee: Stuart P. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
9	4
Corner Kicks
7	2
Yellow Cards
3	4
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
3	4
Corner Kicks
7	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Watt T. ⚽, Fitzpatrick A. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Fitzpatrick A. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Easton D. (Pen),
23', Ashcroft L. 🟨,
36', 2 - 2, Matthews R. ⚽, McMullan P. (A),
45', Matthews R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Fordyce C. 🟨,
53', Mullin J. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
63', Stanway B. 🟨,
63', Watt T. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
68', Vaughan L. 🟨,
73', Crawford R. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
73', Brown S. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Chalmers L. ⚽, Fitzpatrick A. (A),
76', Easton D. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
81', Letsosa T. ↓, McBeth L. ↑,
81', Chalmers L. ↓, Lawless S. ↑,
90', Clarke J. 🟨,
90+2', Hanlon P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Partick Thistle
39.5%

Draw
29.6%

Raith Rovers
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.5%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Partick Thistle's performance.

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raith Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Partick Thistle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raith Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.11)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	3.17 ↑ (2.2)	4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Partick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Partick Thistle won against Raith Rovers?

Partick Thistle has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raith Rovers won against Partick Thistle?

Raith Rovers has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers were as follows:

21.03.2025 Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers 0:0

15.02.2025 Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle 3:0

09.11.2024 Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers 1:1

10.08.2024 Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle 1:0

17.05.2024 Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle 2:2

Latest results of Partick Thistle

23.08.2025 Ross County - Partick Thistle 1:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 St. Johnstone - Partick Thistle 5:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Ross County - Partick Thistle 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Raith Rovers

22.08.2025 Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Raith Rovers - Queens Park 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Raith Rovers - Inverness 5:1 ✺

22.07.2025 St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers 3:1 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	6	5	1	0	14:3	11	16
2	Raith	7	3	2	2	7:6	1	11
3	Arbroath	7	3	2	2	8:12	-4	11
4	Partick Thistle	5	3	1	1	10:10	0	10
5	Dunfermline	6	2	2	2	10:6	4	8
6	Queen's Park	6	1	4	1	6:7	-1	7
7	Morton	7	0	6	1	5:6	-1	6
8	Ayr	5	0	4	1	5:6	-1	4
9	Airdrieonians	6	0	3	3	4:8	-4	3
10	Ross County	7	0	3	4	8:13	-5	3

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-kingdom	PTFC TV, Raith TV