Tallinna Kalev vs Pärnu Vaprus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Estonian Meistriliiga Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus
Result
0:3
14/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Meistriliiga - Round 16
  • Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)
Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
810
Corner Kicks
17
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. ,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Pajo T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ernits R. , Jallow M. ,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Kapper S. ,
  • 70', Kajari E. , Ilves R. ,
  • 70', Laasner K. , Talu R. ,
  • 70', Jurisoo T. , Nigula R. ,
  • 72', Veensalu E. 🟨,
  • 74', Veensalu E. , Villota M. ,
  • 74', Madissoo R. , Limberg M. ,
  • 82', Svedovski A. , Surogin A. ,
  • 85', Kapper S. , Poder J. ,
  • 86', Poder J. 🟨,
  • 90', Paalberg M. , Vallik V. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tallinna Kalev
22%
Draw
24.3%
Pärnu Vaprus
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 24.2% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 23.5% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna Kalev's form might have worsened.
  • Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna Kalev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (2.95)
    3.79
    (3.75)
    1.71
    (2.02)
    8.7%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3.
    • Kalev is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pärnu Vaprus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Pärnu Vaprus will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:17. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev 2:2
    19.01.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus 2:1
    03.11.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev 2:0
    01.09.2024 Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus 1:0
    28.06.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev 0:1
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia19142345:162944
    2Flora19132442:172541
    3Paide19122531:151638
    4Kalju19122537:211638
    5Narva18101733:231031
    6Parnu JK Vaprus1864826:27-122
    7Tammeka18511222:39-1716
    8Harju JK Laagri18431120:36-1615
    9Kuressaare18421218:35-1714
    10Tallinna Kalev18211513:58-457

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga

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