Result
2:2
13/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Meistriliiga - Round 7
- Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Lipp M. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Usta T. (Pen),
- 37', 1 - 1, Valja H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Villota M. ⚽, Valja H. (A),
- 52', Sotsugov D. ↓, Shevyakov D. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Usta T. ⚽, Jurisoo T. (A),
- 59', Sukunda Z. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 59', Svedovski A. ↓, Nigula R. ↑,
- 59', Famuditimi H. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
- 61', 🟨,
- 62', Villota M. 🟨,
- 68', Madissoo R. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
- 80', Nigula R. ↓, Mihhailov V. ↑,
- 86', Poder J. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 86', Veensalu E. ↓, Aloe K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
51.8% | Draw
25.4% | Tallinna Kalev
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pärnu Vaprus's performance.Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2) |
3.6 ↑
(3.57) |
4.02 ↑
(3.21) |
9.3%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Meistriliiga (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pärnu Vaprus won 1.
- Recent matches Pärnu Vaprus is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kalev is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pärnu Vaprus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Pärnu Vaprus is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Pärnu Vaprus won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15:41 (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu Vaprus won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:20 (average 0.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tallinna Kalev?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tallinna Kalev has won 10 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
19.01.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
03.11.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
01.09.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
28.06.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tallinna Kalev
0:1
07.04.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:1
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31:10 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Flora | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kalju | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Paide | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Narva | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:27 | -11 | 14 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11:31 | -20 | 7 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10:37 | -27 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
Which TV channels are streaming of Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
