Kuressaare vs Pärnu Vaprus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Estonian Meistriliiga Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus
Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Meistriliiga - Round 21
  • Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1619
Shots on target
117
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1619
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
512
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Kauber K. (Pen),
  • 33', Antonov I. 🟨,
  • 43', Kivi A. 🟨,
  • 44', Kauber K. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Kivi A. , Pihela O. (A),
  • 62', Paalberg M. , Vallik V. ,
  • 68', Aer S. , Aloe K. ,
  • 68', Kauber K. , Poder J. ,
  • 70', Kivi A. , Lipp O. ,
  • 70', Demidov E. , Pevtsov G. ,
  • 77', Domov P. , Smirnov A. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Leivategija M. ,
  • 88', Poder J. 🟨,
  • 88', Leivategija M. , Sinilaid S. ,
  • 88', Limberg M. , Kolvart S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kuressaare
30%
Draw
27.8%
Pärnu Vaprus
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 24% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 23.8% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuressaare's form might have worsened.
  • Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuressaare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.5)
    3.31
    (3.75)
    2.18
    (2.25)
    8.6%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kuressaare will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 1.
    • Kuressaare is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Pärnu Vaprus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of home games.
    • Pärnu Vaprus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare 2:1
    18.04.2025 Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus 1:0
    01.02.2025 Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus 0:2
    06.10.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare 3:1
    28.07.2024 Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus 1:1
    Latest results of Kuressaare
    11.07.2025 Kuressaare - Tammeka 0:2
    05.07.2025 Narva Trans - Kuressaare 3:2
    17.06.2025 Kuressaare - Tammeka 2:3
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia21162351:163550
    2Flora21152445:182747
    3Paide21132633:181541
    4Kalju21132643:241941
    5Narva21112836:27935
    6Parnu JK Vaprus2065927:29-223
    7Tammeka21611427:44-1719
    8Kuressaare21521422:41-1917
    9Harju JK Laagri20431321:42-2115
    10Tallinna Kalev21411621:67-4613

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus?
    It is being streamed on channel
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