Kuressaare vs Pärnu Vaprus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Estonian Meistriliiga Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus
Result
1:0
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Meistriliiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
98
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
124
Corner Kicks
98
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Poder J. , Aloe K. ,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Domov P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Lipp O. , Pevtsov G. ,
  • 63', Jermatsenko A. , Kivi A. ,
  • 74', Villota M. 🟨,
  • 82', Pevtsov G. 🟨,
  • 83', Veensalu E. , Kapper S. ,
  • 90+4', Seppik M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kuressaare
29.9%
Draw
27.6%
Pärnu Vaprus
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 26.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 25.3% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuressaare's form might have worsened.
  • Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuressaare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.29)
    3.33
    (3.43)
    2.17
    (2.76)
    8.6%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 0.
    • Kuressaare has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Pärnu Vaprus is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 36:28 (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kuressaare won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:13 (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus 0:2
    06.10.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare 3:1
    28.07.2024 Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus 1:1
    28.05.2024 Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus 2:2
    17.03.2024 Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare 3:2
    Latest results of Kuressaare
    Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levadia1291231:102128
    2Flora1282228:91926
    3Kalju1281326:141225
    4Paide1372421:111023
    5Narva1271421:13822
    6Parnu JK Vaprus1342716:20-414
    7Harju JK Laagri1342716:27-1114
    8Kuressaare1241712:20-813
    9Tammeka13211011:31-207
    10Tallinna Kalev1221910:37-277

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Meistriliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga

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