Empoli vs Parma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli).

: Serie A - Round 36
Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	0.34
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
15	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	0
Passes
67% (212/315)	70% (265/378)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	0.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	0.09
Total shots
15	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
7	0
Shots inside the Box
6	2
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
13	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
16	21
Passes
67% (212/315)	70% (265/378)
Long passes
31% (23/75)	38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
49% (50/103)	43% (43/100)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.25	0.27
Throw-ins
22	25
Fouls
21	16
Tackles
67% (10/15)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
63	73
Clearances
35	22
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.09	1.13
Goals prevented
-0.91	-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fazzini J. ⚽, Henderson L. (A),
22', Valenti L. 🟨,
31', Valenti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Ondrejka J. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
66', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
66', Sohm S. ↓, Hernani ↑,
71', Grassi A. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
73', Cacace L. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Djuric M. ⚽, Hernani (A),
77', Cacace L. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
77', Bonny A. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
84', Esposito Se. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
84', Henderson L. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Anjorin F. ⚽, Konate I. (A),
88', Viti M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Empoli
42.3%

Draw
30.3%

Parma
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Parma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Empoli - Parma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.54)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	3.49 ↑ (2.91)	4.5% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Empoli - Parma?

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 54.5% – 78.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Empoli will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
Empoli is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Parma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Empoli might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery) Vogliacco A. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Parma?

Empoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Empoli?

Parma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Parma were as follows:

27.10.2024 Parma - Empoli 1:1

Latest results of Empoli

04.05.2025 Empoli - Lazio 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1 ✺

24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2 ✺

14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Parma

03.05.2025 Parma - Como 0:1 ✺

28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Empoli - Parma?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball