Parma vs Como: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Parma - Como
Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 35
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
Parma - Como - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.82
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (248/304)86% (425/492)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.91
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2622
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
82% (248/304)86% (425/492)
Long passes
54% (25/46)35% (14/40)
Passes in final third
63% (40/64)73% (90/124)
Crosses
50% (7/14)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.89
Throw-ins
1214
Fouls
1614
Tackles
71% (15/21)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
3421
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.910.24
Goals prevented
-0.090.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Cutrone P. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
  • 67', Hainaut A. 🟨,
  • 73', Hainaut A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
  • 73', Pellegrino M. ↓, Benedyczak A. ↑,
  • 74', Da Cunha L. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Strefezza G. ⚽, Douvikas A. (A),
  • 83', Caqueret M. ↓, Engelhardt Y. ↑,
  • 83', Vojvoda M. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
  • 84', Ikone J. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
  • 85', Bonny A. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
  • 86', Sohm S. ↓, Man D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Parma
29.4%		Draw
27.9%		Como
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 27.8% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 27.9% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Parma - Como Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.24 ↑
    (3.05)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.47)    		 2.25 ↓
    (2.38)    		 4.4%
    (3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Parma - Como?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Como will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 28.4% – 67.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Como (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2.
    • Recent performances by Parma have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Como is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Como is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Benedyczak A. (Ankle Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Roberto S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Bernabe A. (Muscle Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Vogliacco A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Como were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Como - Parma 1:1
    24.02.2024 Como - Parma 1:1
    20.10.2023 Parma - Como 2:1
    18.03.2023 Como - Parma 2:0
    29.10.2022 Parma - Como 1:0
    Latest results of Parma
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Parma - Juventus 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺
    31.03.2025 Verona - Parma 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Como
    27.04.2025 Como - Genoa 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 Como - Torino 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Monza - Como 1:3 ✺
    29.03.2025 Como - Empoli 1:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Parma - Como?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItaly215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
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    kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
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