Paris Saint-Germain vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - PSV Eindhoven
Result
1:1
22/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
Paris Saint-Germain - PSV Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.25
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
268
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
81
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
143
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
1612
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
16
Total Passes
591380
Completed Passes
517310
Crosses Completed
83
Interceptions
1317

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Lang N. , Saibari I. (A),
  • 40', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Mauro Junior 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Hakimi A. , Ruiz F. (A),
  • 59', Ruiz F. , Vitinha ,
  • 65', Lang N. , Driouech C. ,
  • 68', Lee Kang-In , Asensio M. ,
  • 77', Dams M. 🟨,
  • 81', Barcola B. , Kolo Muani R. ,
  • 81', Dembele O. , Doue D. ,
  • 81', Zaire-Emery W. , Mayulu S. ,
  • 83', Bakayoko J. , Babadi I. ,
  • 84', Saibari I. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 90+1', Ledezma R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Babadi I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', de Jong L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Benitez W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
74.6%
Draw
15.4%
PSV Eindhoven
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 20.3% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 23.1% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.
  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.52)
    6.29
    (4.72)
    9.78
    (5.81)
    3.4%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 75 - 87.2%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 80.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches PSG is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • PSV in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match PSG is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Kolo Muani R. (Ankle Injury) Ramos G. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Karsdorp R. (Injury) Schouten J. (Injury) Veerman J. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Lozano H. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag3 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 1, 0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV0 : 6, 1 : 3
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