Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
1:0
22/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.62
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (241/304)91% (610/669)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.78
Total shots
912
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
716
Passes
79% (241/304)91% (610/669)
Long passes
63% (32/51)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
72% (58/81)81% (110/136)
Crosses
25% (3/12)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.14
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
167
Tackles
63% (12/19)84% (16/19)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
1916
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.781.08
Goals prevented
0.780.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Aguerd N. ,
  • 18', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Weah T. 🟨,
  • 61', Paixao I. , Aubameyang P. ,
  • 64', Pacho W. , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 73', Zaire-Emery W. , Mayulu S. ,
  • 78', Weah T. , Murillo M. ,
  • 79', Gouiri A. , Nadir B. ,
  • 89', Ramos G. , Mbaye I. ,
  • 89', Greenwood M. , Vaz R. ,
  • 90+1', De Zerbi R. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
26.6%
Draw
24.9%
Paris Saint-Germain
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 24.5% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Olympique Marseille have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.59)
    3.92
    (3.9)
    2.05
    (1.95)
    2.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (55 of 58 users predict this - 94.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.13%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 0.
    • Recent performances by Marseille have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PSG is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Thigh Injury) Doue D. (Calf Injury) Neves J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 10:45. (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.6:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    31.03.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    24.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 4:0
    26.02.2023 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    08.02.2023 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG751113:5816
    2Marseille750215:51015
    3Strasbourg750214:7715
    4Lyon75029:5415
    5Monaco741216:12413
    6Lens741210:6413
    7Lille732214:10411
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Toulouse731311:12-110
    10Rennes72419:10-110
    11Brest722311:1108
    12Nice72239:12-38
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Le Havre71338:10-26
    15Nantes71335:7-26
    16Auxerre72055:10-56
    17Angers71243:11-85
    18Metz70255:16-112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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