Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City
Result
4:2
22/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.751.78
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
269
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
102
Blocked Shots
71
Big Chances
85
Corner Kicks
116
Shots inside the Box
209
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
1010
Offsides
30
Fouls
1010
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1614
Touches in the Opposition Box
4423
Passes
91% (561/615)82% (293/356)
Passes in the final third
86% (145/169)68% (57/84)
Crosses
29% (6/21)29% (4/14)
Tackles
67% (12/18)56% (10/18)
Clearances Total
1523
Interceptions
117

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 23', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', Lee Kang-In , Dembele O. ,
  • 46', Savinho , Grealish J. ,
  • 46', Dias R. , Lewis R. ,
  • 50', 0 - 1, Grealish J. ,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Haaland E. ,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Dembele O. , Barcola B. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 2, Barcola B. , Doue D. (A),
  • 61', Doue D. , Ramos G. ,
  • 61', Ruiz F. , Zaire-Emery W. ,
  • 70', De Bruyne K. , McAtee J. ,
  • 70', Kovacic M. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 78', Nunes M. , Stones J. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Neves J. , Vitinha (A),
  • 81', Barcola B. , Hernandez L. ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Ramos G. ,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
39%
Draw
25.3%
Manchester City
35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 24.9% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Paris Saint-Germain have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Manchester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.45)
    3.8
    (3.79)
    2.68
    (2.68)
    4.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 104 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 45 - 43.3%). Man City will win (votes: 33 - 31.7%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 33.8%52.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 1.
    • During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.
    • Man City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in PSG: Mbaye I. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Stones J. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches PSG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce
    12NiceBenfica
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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