Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain
Result
3:2
15/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.70
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
77% (232/303)88% (539/611)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.551.83
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
4023
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
315
Passes
77% (232/303)88% (539/611)
Long passes
39% (17/44)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
68% (72/106)81% (92/114)
Crosses
53% (9/17)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.43
Fouls
153
Tackles
50% (11/22)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5154
Clearances Total
1326
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.833.55
Goals prevented
-0.170.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Hakimi A. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Mendes N. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Tielemans Y. , McGinn J. (A),
  • 42', McGinn J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 2, McGinn J. ,
  • 57', 3 - 2, Konsa E. , Rashford M. (A),
  • 61', Barcola B. , Doue D. ,
  • 66', McGinn J. , Asensio M. ,
  • 67', Onana A. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 76', Rashford M. , Watkins O. ,
  • 76', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 88', Tielemans Y. , Barkley R. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5enpbnek

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
29.5%
Draw
25.2%
Paris Saint-Germain
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 25.2% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 24.6% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    3.83
    (3.81)
    2.12
    (2.07)
    3.8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 23 - 31.5%). PSG will win (votes: 38 - 52.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 40.6%63.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 46.2%). PSG (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.
    • Aston Villa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • PSG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.
    • PSG will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Inactive) Jimoh-Aloba J. (Inactive) Malen D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Knock)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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