Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.26	1.70
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
9	7
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
77% (232/303)	88% (539/611)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
3.55	1.83
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
9	7
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
14	8
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
40	23
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
3	15
Passes
77% (232/303)	88% (539/611)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
68% (72/106)	81% (92/114)
Crosses
53% (9/17)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.43
Fouls
15	3
Tackles
50% (11/22)	63% (15/24)
Duels won
51	54
Clearances Total
13	26
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
1	3
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
1.83	3.55
Goals prevented
-0.17	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Hakimi A. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Mendes N. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Tielemans Y. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
42', McGinn J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 2, McGinn J. ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, Konsa E. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
61', Barcola B. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
66', McGinn J. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
67', Onana A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
76', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
76', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
88', Tielemans Y. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5enpbnek

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
29.5%

Draw
25.2%

Paris Saint-Germain
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

25.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24.6%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	3.83 ↑ (3.81)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	3.8% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain?

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 23 - 31.5%). PSG will win (votes: 38 - 52.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 40.6% – 63.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 46.2%). PSG (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.
Aston Villa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
PSG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.
PSG will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A. (Inactive) Jimoh-Aloba J. (Inactive) Malen D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Knock)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Aston Villa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Aston Villa?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1

Latest results of Aston Villa

12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Preston North End - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Angers 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Dunkerque - Paris Saint-Germain 2:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain 1:6 ✺

11.03.2025 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, VTM 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Japan	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	CANAL+ 360
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Suriname	ATV Suriname
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Turkey	TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+