Martigues vs Paris FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Martigues - Paris FC
Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
Martigues - Paris FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.40
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
72% (253/349)82% (346/424)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.85
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2132
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
72% (253/349)82% (346/424)
Long passes
26% (16/61)56% (39/70)
Passes in final third
59% (60/101)70% (70/100)
Crosses
44% (8/18)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.55
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1217
Tackles
70% (7/10)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.851.56
Goals prevented
0.850.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Cafaro M. , Kebbal I. ,
  • 34', Saintini N. 🟨,
  • 38', De Smet T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Hamel P. ,
  • 58', Doucet L. , Kante M. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Orinel O. , Mendy O. (A),
  • 72', Orinel O. , Ipiele A. ,
  • 72', Siby M. , Montiel R. ,
  • 81', Mendy O. , Shamal S. ,
  • 82', Krasso J. , Dicko N. ,
  • 90', Tlili K. , Kembolo F. ,
  • 90', Belloumou S. , Zouaoui I. ,
  • 90+3', Mbow M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Solvet S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Martigues 20.5%Draw 24.8%Paris FC 54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Martigues 14.9%Draw 20.4%Paris FC 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Martigues 14.3%Draw 19.6%Paris FC 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martigues's performance.
  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martigues that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Martigues - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.62
    (6.31)
    3.78
    (4.59)
    1.73
    (1.45)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Martigues - Paris FC?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Recent performances by Martigues have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paris FC is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Djaha A. (Injury) Marillat Y. (Injury) Zouaoui I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Kolodziejczak T. (Suspended) Lopez J. (Red Card) Lopez M. (Yellow Cards) Pembele A. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martigues won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Paris FC were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Paris FC - Martigues 1:2
    Latest results of Martigues
    25.04.2025 Guingamp - Martigues 2:1
    18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3
    11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4
    04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    Latest results of Paris FC
    26.04.2025 Rodez - Paris FC 1:1
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    12.04.2025 Grenoble - Paris FC 1:2
    04.04.2025 Paris FC - Clermont 2:0
    31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lorient ✔ 33215763:303368
    2Paris FC ✔ 33206753:332066
    3Metz ✔ 331711561:322962
    4Dunkerque ✔ 331741246:39755
    5Guingamp331641354:441052
    6Laval331481142:35750
    7Annecy331391139:42-348
    8Grenoble331371342:41146
    9Bastia331015841:36545
    10Amiens331341638:49-1143
    11AC Ajaccio331261530:40-1042
    12Pau FC3310121138:50-1242
    13Troyes331251635:34141
    14Rodez339111355:53238
    15Red Star339101436:50-1437
    16Clermont337111529:45-1632
    17Martigues33951928:51-2332
    18Caen ✔ 33572130:56-2622

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lorient is Qualified for Ligue 1
    Paris FC is Qualified for Ligue 1
    Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Dunkerque is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Caen is Relegated to National
    Which TV channels are streaming of Martigues - Paris FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA French 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
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