Paphos vs Astana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Apollon Arena (Limassol).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.38	0.06
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Goal Attempts
32	2
Shots on Goal
13	0
Shots off Goal
15	1
Blocked Shots
4	1
Free Kicks
6	11
Corner Kicks
12	2
Offsides
0	1
Throw-ins
20	18
Goalkeeper Saves
0	12
Fouls
11	6
Yellow Cards
0	2
Total Passes
526	284
Completed Passes
447	188
Crosses Completed
14	3
Interceptions
7	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Kuat I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Seysen M. 🟨,
57', Quina D. ↓, Jaja ↑,
68', Silva J. ↓, Correia J. ↑,
68', Bruno ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Anderson Silva ⚽, Jaja (A),
88', Basmanov S. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
90+1', Jairo ↓, Name M. ↑,
90+1', Karimov R. ↓, Mustafin B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Paphos
75.5%

Draw
16.8%

Astana
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paphos - Astana Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.55)	5.62 ↑ (3.85)	11.95 ↑ (5)	5.5% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Paphos - Astana?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 61.2% – 90.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apollon Arena.
Paphos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Paphos is indisputable favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Astana?

Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Paphos?

Astana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - Astana were as follows:

Latest results of Paphos

03.11.2024 Paphos - Omonia Aradippou 4:0 ✺

28.10.2024 Omonia 29is Maiou - Paphos 1:2 ✺

24.10.2024 Paphos - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺

19.10.2024 Paphos - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion 4:0 ✺

06.10.2024 Enosis Neon Paralimni - Paphos 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Astana

03.11.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 1:0 ✺

30.10.2024 Astana - Atyrau 3:2 ✺

27.10.2024 Astana - Aktobe 2:0 ✺

24.10.2024 The New Saints - Astana 2:0 ✺

20.10.2024 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:3 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Buducnost	Bye
2	Bye	Milsami
4	Bye	Virtus
5	Vikingur	Bye
7	Zalgiris	Bye
8	Bye	Linfield
9	TNS	Bye
10	Bye	Differdange
11	Levadia	Bye
12	Bye	Iberia 1999
13	O. Ljubljana	Bye
14	Bye	Inter Escaldes
15	Din. Minsk	Bye
16	Bye	Egnatia
17	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
18	Bye	SK Rapid
19	Dundee Utd	Bye
20	Bye	UNA Strassen
21	Aktobe	Bye
22	Bye	Sparta Prague
23	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
24	Bye	U. Cluj
25	Ilves	Bye
26	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
27	Vaduz	Bye
28	Bye	Dungannon
33	Radnicki 1923	Bye
34	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
35	Kosice	Bye
36	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
37	Riga FC	Bye
38	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
39	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
40	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
41	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
42	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
43	HB Torshavn	Bye
44	Bye	Brondby
45	Zira	Bye
46	Bye	Hajduk Split
47	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
48	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
53	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
54	Bye	Lausanne
55	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
56	Bye	FC Astana
57	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
58	Bye	Prishtina
59	Varazdin	Bye
60	Bye	Santa Clara
61	Aris	Bye
62	Bye	Puskas Academy
63	AEK Athens FC	Bye
64	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
65	Viking	Bye
66	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
67	Cherno More	Bye
68	Bye	Basaksehir
69	Araz	Bye
70	Bye	Aris
71	Omonia	Bye
72	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
73	FC Ballkani	Bye
74	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
75	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
76	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
77	Rakow	Bye
78	Bye	Zilina
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	AIK	Bye
82	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
83	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
84	Bye	Gyor
85	FK Sarajevo	Bye
86	Bye	Univ. Craiova
87	Hibernians	Bye
88	Bye	Trnava
89	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
90	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
91	Paks	Bye
92	Bye	Maribor
95	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
96	Bye	Sabah Baku
97	Silkeborg	Bye
98	Bye	KA Akureyri
99	Novi Pazar	Bye
100	Bye	Jagiellonia
101	Oleksandriya	Bye
102	Bye	Partizan
107	Austria Vienna	Bye
108	Bye	Spaeri
109	Rosenborg	Bye
110	Bye	Banga
111	Hammarby	Bye
112	Bye	Charleroi
113	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
114	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
117	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
118	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
119	Arda	Bye
120	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Buducnost	Milsami	0 : 0
2	Bye	Virtus
3	Vikingur	Bye
4	Zalgiris	Linfield	0 : 0
5	TNS	Differdange	0 : 1
6	Levadia	Iberia 1999	1 : 0
7	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes	4 : 2
8	Din. Minsk	Egnatia	0 : 2
9	Decic	SK Rapid	0 : 2
10	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen	1 : 0
11	Aktobe	Sparta Prague	2 : 1
12	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj	0 : 0
13	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar	4 : 3
14	Vaduz	Dungannon	0 : 1
17	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik	0 : 0
18	Kosice	Neman	2 : 3
19	Riga FC	Dila Gori	2 : 1
20	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem	1 : 2
21	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 : 1
22	HB Torshavn	Brondby	1 : 1
23	Zira	Hajduk Split	1 : 1
24	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana	1 : 2
27	Vardar	Lausanne	2 : 1
28	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana	1 : 1
29	Larne	Prishtina	0 : 0
30	Varazdin	Santa Clara	2 : 1
31	Aris	Puskas Academy	3 : 2
32	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva	1 : 0
33	Viking	Koper	7 : 0
34	Cherno More	Basaksehir	0 : 1
35	Araz	Aris	2 : 1
36	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 : 0
37	FC Ballkani	Floriana	4 : 2
38	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers	0 : 4
39	Rakow	Zilina	3 : 0
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa	1 : 1
41	AIK	Paide	2 : 0
42	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor	2 : 1
43	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova	2 : 1
44	Hibernians	Trnava	1 : 2
45	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma	1 : 2
46	Paks	Maribor	1 : 0
48	Petrocub	Sabah Baku	0 : 2
49	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri	1 : 1
50	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia	1 : 2
51	Oleksandriya	Partizan	0 : 2
54	Austria Vienna	Spaeri	2 : 0
55	Rosenborg	Banga	5 : 0
56	Hammarby	Charleroi	0 : 0
57	St. Patricks	Kalju	1 : 0
59	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur	1 : 1
60	Arda	HJK	0 : 0

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	Virtus
2	Vikingur	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
14	TBD #27	TBD #28
15	TBD #29	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	TBD #32
17	TBD #33	TBD #34
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	TBD #42
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	TBD #45	TBD #46
24	Bye	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	TBD #50
26	TBD #51	Bye
27	Bye	TBD #54
28	TBD #55	TBD #56
29	TBD #57	Bye
30	TBD #59	TBD #60

Which TV channels are streaming of Paphos - Astana?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 16
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 16
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+