Shakhtar Donetsk vs Panathinaikos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków).

: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.72
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
90% (530/591)	87% (495/571)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.42	0.12
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
17	22
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
18	12
Passes
90% (530/591)	87% (495/571)
Long passes
55% (30/55)	58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
79% (123/156)	73% (102/139)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.36
Throw-ins
16	22
Fouls
13	18
Tackles
64% (9/14)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
51	50
Clearances
23	25
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.12	0.42
Goals prevented
0.12	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bondar V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
52', Gnezda Cerin A. 🟨,
76', Swiderski K. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
76', Tete ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
82', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
82', Turan A. 🟥,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
92', Kotsiras G. 🟨,
97', Chirivella P. 🟨,
101', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
101', Pellistri F. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
101', Kotsiras G. ↓, Jedvaj T. ↑,
105+1', Siopis M. 🟨,
109', Alisson ↓, Shved M. ↑,
111', Nazaryna Y. 🟨,
113', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
120+2', Touba A. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Nazaryna Y. (Pen),
1, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
2, Tobias V. (Pen),
2, Jeremejeff A. (Pen),
3, Bondarenko A. (Pen),
3, Siopis M. (Pen),
4, Newerton (Pen),
4, Zaroury A. (Pen),
5, Kaua Elias (Pen),
5, Touba A. (Pen),
6, Henrique P. (Pen),
6, Mancini D. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Shakhtar Donetsk
55.1%

Draw
25.4%

Panathinaikos
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	4.79 ↓ (5)	6.6% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (60 of 75 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.95% – 89.05%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (18 of 24 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Shakhtar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Panathinaikos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Panathinaikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of away games.
In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Shakhtar will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shakhtar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Panathinaikos?

Shakhtar Donetsk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against Shakhtar Donetsk?

Panathinaikos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos were as follows:

07.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0

Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk

10.08.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 3:3 ✺

07.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:1 ✺

31.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Beşiktaş 2:0 ✺

24.07.2025 Beşiktaş - Shakhtar Donetsk 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Panathinaikos

07.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Panathinaikos - Glasgow Rangers 1:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Panathinaikos 2:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Westerlo - Panathinaikos 1:3 ✺

12.07.2025 Panathinaikos - Braga 1:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
4	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
8	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
9	Shkendija	Bye
16	Bye	Ludogorets
17	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
24	Bye	Young Boys
25	Malmo FF	Bye
32	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
33	Panathinaikos	Bye
35	Besiktas	Bye
36	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves	0 : 0, 6 : 0
40	Bye	Samsunspor
41	Aberdeen	Bye
45	FCSB	Bye
48	Bye	Drita
49	Lech Poznan	Bye
56	Bye	Genk
57	Fredrikstad	Bye
59	Midtjylland	Bye
60	Bye	Hibernian
61	RFS	Bye
64	Bye	KuPS
65	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
68	Bye	Noah
69	Lugano	Bye
70	Paks	CFR Cluj	0 : 3, 0 : 0
71	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva	2 : 1, 0 : 0
72	Bye	Braga
73	Zrinjski	Bye
76	Bye	Breidablik
77	Servette	Bye
79	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina	1 : 2, 4 : 0
80	Bye	Utrecht
81	Anderlecht	Bye
82	Trnava	Hacken	2 : 2, 0 : 1
84	Bye	Brann
85	Sabah Baku	Celje	3 : 3, 2 : 3
86	AEK Larnaca	Partizan	2 : 2, 1 : 0
87	Ostrava	Bye
88	Legia	Aktobe	1 : 0, 1 : 0
89	Rijeka	Bye
92	Bye	Shelbourne
93	PAOK	Bye
96	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Quarter-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
2	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
4	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
5	Shkendija	Bye
8	Bye	Ludogorets
9	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
12	Bye	Young Boys
13	Malmo FF	Bye
16	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
17	Panathinaikos	Bye
18	Besiktas	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 : 2, 2 : 4
20	Bye	Samsunspor
21	Aberdeen	Bye
23	FCSB	Bye
24	Bye	Drita
25	Lech Poznan	Bye
28	Bye	Genk
29	Fredrikstad	Bye
30	Midtjylland	Hibernian	2 : 1, 1 : 1
31	RFS	Bye
32	Bye	KuPS
33	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
34	Bye	Noah
35	Lugano	CFR Cluj	0 : 1, 0 : 0
36	Levski Sofia	Braga	0 : 1, 0 : 0
37	Zrinjski	Bye
38	Bye	Breidablik
39	Servette	Bye
40	Sheriff Tiraspol	Utrecht	1 : 4, 1 : 3
41	Anderlecht	Hacken	1 : 3, 1 : 0
42	Bye	Brann
43	Celje	AEK Larnaca	1 : 2, 1 : 1
44	Ostrava	Legia	1 : 2, 2 : 2
45	Rijeka	Bye
46	Bye	Shelbourne
47	PAOK	Bye
48	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Semi-finals

1	Hamrun	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 3, 1 : 2
2	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
3	Shkendija	Bye
4	Bye	Ludogorets
5	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
6	Bye	Young Boys
7	Malmo FF	Bye
8	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
9	Panathinaikos	Shakhtar Donetsk	1 : 0, 0 : 0
10	Bye	Samsunspor
11	Aberdeen	Bye
12	FCSB	Drita	3 : 1, 3 : 2
13	Lech Poznan	Bye
14	Bye	Genk
15	Fredrikstad	Midtjylland	0 : 2, 1 : 3
16	RFS	KuPS	0 : 1, 1 : 2
17	Lincoln Red Imps	Noah	1 : 0, 1 : 1
18	CFR Cluj	Braga	0 : 2, 1 : 2
19	Zrinjski	Breidablik	2 : 1, 1 : 1
20	Servette	Utrecht	1 : 2, 1 : 3
21	Hacken	Brann	1 : 0, 0 : 2
22	AEK Larnaca	Legia	1 : 2, 4 : 1
23	Rijeka	Shelbourne	3 : 1, 1 : 2
24	PAOK	Wolfsberger AC	1 : 0, 0 : 0

Final

1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Dyn. Kyiv	3 : 1
2	Shkendija	Ludogorets	2 : 1
3	Slovan Bratislava	Young Boys	0 : 1
4	Malmo FF	Sigma Olomouc	3 : 0
5	Panathinaikos	Samsunspor	2 : 1
6	Aberdeen	FCSB	2 : 2
7	Lech Poznan	Genk	1 : 5
8	Midtjylland	KuPS	4 : 0
9	Lincoln Red Imps	Braga	0 : 4
10	Zrinjski	Utrecht	0 : 2
11	Brann	AEK Larnaca	4 : 0, 2 : 1
12	Rijeka	PAOK	1 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV