Panathinaikos vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
29/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
Panathinaikos - Roma - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.731.50
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
64
Passes
85% (521/610)76% (243/318)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.731.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.231.12
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1710
Passes
85% (521/610)76% (243/318)
Long passes
53% (28/53)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)69% (64/93)
Crosses
27% (4/15)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.89
Throw ins
1621
Fouls
1017
Tackles
76% (13/17)61% (11/18)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
1.120.23
Goals prevented
0.12-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Siopis M. 🟨,
  • 15', Mancini G. 🟥,
  • 41', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Soule M. , Ndicka E. ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Taborda V. ,
  • 59', Siopis M. , Sanches R. ,
  • 64', Cristante B. , Wesley Franca ,
  • 64', Celik Z. , Rensch D. ,
  • 67', Pellegrini Lo. , Della Rocca M. ,
  • 70', Pisilli N. 🟨,
  • 72', Touba A. , Skarlatidis I. N. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 88', Tsimikas K. , Angelino ,
  • 90+3', Taborda V. , Terzis S. ,

Chances of winning


Panathinaikos
18.7%
Draw
28.4%
Roma
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 26.1% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 26.3% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panathinaikos's form might have worsened.
  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panathinaikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Panathinaikos - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.11
    (3.17)
    3.37
    (3.7)
    1.81
    (2.22)
    4.6%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - Roma?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +0.75 - Panathinaikos (1.89) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -1.5 - Roma (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Roma will win (52 of 62 users predict this - 83.87%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 74.71%93.03%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 9 - 20.9%). Roma (votes: 32 - 74.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Panathinaikos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Roma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Roma has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Roma is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Andino S. (Inactive) Calabria D. (Illness) Chaves L. (Inactive) Chirivella P. (Calf Injury) Dessers C. (Thigh Injury) Djuricic F. (Injury) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Kontouris S. (Inactive) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Mancini D. (Inactive) Pantelidis P. (Inactive) Pellistri F. (Injury) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Swiderski K. (Yellow Cards) Tetteh A. (Inactive) Vilhena T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) El Shaarawy S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Hermoso M. (Injury) Kone M. (Hip Injury) Malen D. (Inactive) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Vaz R. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Latest results of Roma
    25.01.2026 Roma - Milan 1:1
    22.01.2026 Roma - Stuttgart 2:0
    18.01.2026 Torino - Roma 0:2
    13.01.2026 Roma - Torino 2:3
    10.01.2026 Roma - Sassuolo 2:0
    Draw
    2026/27

    1/8-finals
    1TromsoBye
    2ByeHradec Kralove
    3BesiktasBye
    4ByeMidtjylland
    5JagielloniaBye
    8ByeRangers
    9Dyn. KyivU. Cluj1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByePAOK
    11HammarbyBye
    12ByeAnderlecht
    13Hajduk SplitZilina1 : 2, 2 : 0
    14ByePafos
    16ByeSalzburg
    17St. GallenBye
    18ByeBenfica
    21Sheriff TiraspolAluminij1 : 0, 0 : 0
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23QarabagVestri3 : 0, 3 : 0
    24CSKA SofiaDerry City2 : 1, 3 : 2
    25TwenteBye
    26VojvodinaFerencvaros0 : 3, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TromsoHradec Kralove
    2BesiktasMidtjylland
    3JagielloniaBye
    4ByeRangers
    5Dyn. KyivPAOK
    6HammarbyAnderlecht
    7Hajduk SplitPafos
    8ByeSalzburg
    9St. GallenBenfica
    11Sheriff TiraspolMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12QarabagCSKA Sofia
    13TwenteFerencvaros

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2JagielloniaRangers
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7Salzburg
    5TBD #9Bye
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Bye
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