Fiorentina vs Panathinaikos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Panathinaikos
Result
3:1
13/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
Fiorentina - Panathinaikos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.66
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
211
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Free Kicks
1926
Offsides
20
Fouls
2619
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1713
Touches in the Opposition Box
2130
Passes
83% (316/382)83% (310/374)
Passes in the final third
66% (55/83)68% (78/115)
Crosses
8% (1/12)28% (5/18)
Tackles
60% (12/20)46% (6/13)
Clearances Total
1819
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 28', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Djuricic F. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 60', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 60', Cataldi D. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 70', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
  • 74', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 74', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 75', Swiderski K. , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Kean M. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 78', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 79', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 79', Ranieri L. , Zaniolo N. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
  • 82', Vitoria R. 🟨,
  • 82', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 83', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
  • 87', Tete , Pellistri F. ,
  • 87', Arao W. , Gnezda Cerin A. ,
  • 90+2', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dodo , Moreno M. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
64.1%
Draw
22.3%
Panathinaikos
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 29.7% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panathinaikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Fiorentina - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.8)
    4.27
    (3.6)
    6.94
    (4.91)
    5.8%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Panathinaikos?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.1%91.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.
    • Fiorentina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Panathinaikos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Folorunsho M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A. (Muscle Injury) Karakasidis G. (Inactive) Limnios D. (Inactive) Magnusson H. (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Palmer-Brown E. (Muscle Injury) Perez R. (Inactive) Schenkeveld B. (Inactive) Zeca (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Kotsiras G. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda
    5Dun. StredaBye
    6UrartuNeman
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont
    36ValurFlora
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma
    49La FioritaVardar
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    55HiberniansBye
    57St. PatricksHegelmann
    58KaljuPartizani
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
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    65St JosephsCliftonville
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    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks
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    79ZhodinoRabotnicki
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2TBD #3Bye
    3Dun. StredaTBD #6
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7TBD #13Dinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniTBD #18
    10VikingTBD #20
    11AEK Athens FCBye
    12TBD #23Gyor
    13Riga FCTBD #26
    14RakowZilina
    15TBD #29Bye
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19ByeMaribor
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923TBD #44
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrTBD #48
    25TBD #49Lausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaBye
    28HiberniansBye
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30AIKTBD #60
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33TBD #65Shamrock Rovers
    34ByeAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaTBD #72
    37ByeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39TBD #77SK Rapid
    40TBD #79Maccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTBD #84
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44TBD #87Beitar Jerusalem
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