CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Panathinaikos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos
Result
1:2 AET
11/08/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.27
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
511
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
36
Passes
87% (553/639)87% (576/661)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.552.62
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
511
Shots off target
88
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
59
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1313
Passes
87% (553/639)87% (576/661)
Long passes
56% (50/89)52% (36/69)
Passes in final third
71% (87/123)71% (125/175)
Crosses
10% (3/31)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.98
Throw ins
2924
Fouls
1313
Tackles
57% (12/21)70% (14/20)
Duels won
6159
Clearances
2948
Interceptions
2310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
94
xGOT faced
2.621.55
Goals prevented
0.620.55
Goal kicks
1113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Katris G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Garcia L. ,
  • 64', Rastoder E. 🟨,
  • 65', Iliev A. , Diallo M. ,
  • 65', Rastoder E. , Dessers C. ,
  • 66', Garcia L. , Jagusic A. ,
  • 71', Zemzemi M. 🟨,
  • 72', Zemzemi M. , Franco E. ,
  • 80', Zaroury A. , Touba A. ,
  • 83', Meyer J. , Vitanov P. ,
  • 83', Rusev G. , Sobrero B. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Dvali L. ,
  • 88', Chirivella P. , Gnezda Cerin A. ,
  • 88', Andino S. , Taborda V. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 95', 1 - 2, Dessers C. ,
  • 101', Cuellar H. , Krebs F. ,
  • 105+1', Kyriakopoulos G. , Kontouris S. ,
  • 106', Medina D. , Grivic D. ,
  • 112', Franco E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


CSKA 1948 Sofia
19.5%
Draw
27.3%
Panathinaikos
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 26.6% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 26.8% 56.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.76
    (5.43)
    3.42
    (3.52)
    1.75
    (1.67)
    7.5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1.
    • CSKA 1948 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Panathinaikos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Panathinaikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    05.08.2026 Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia 1:1
    05.07.2023 Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia 1:0
    Latest results of CSKA 1948 Sofia
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Draw

    1/8-finals
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBye
    5Borac Banja LukaBye
    6ByePetrocub
    7ML VitebskBye
    8ByeSutjeska
    9Shamrock RoversBye
    16ByeKuPS
    17Tre FioriBye
    19FlorianaBye
    20ByeDrita
    21FloraBye
    22ByeTNS
    24ByeInter Escaldes
    25KlaksvikBye
    29VardarBye
    30ByeRiga FC
    31BissenBye
    32ByeGyor
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    40ByeLarne
    41HJKBye
    42ByeColeraine
    43MotherwellBye
    44ByeHB Torshavn
    48ByeFreiburg
    49Gornik ZabrzeBye
    56ByeMonaco
    57BasaksehirBye
    58FK SarajevoInter Turku1 : 2, 1 : 1
    59VaduzBye
    60Mornar BarAtletic Escaldes1 : 2, 1 : 2
    61DebrecenBye
    62MarsaxlokkPyunik Yerevan0 : 1, 0 : 3
    63Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    64ByeFC Copenhagen
    65HeartsBye
    69HegelmannPaide0 : 3, 1 : 1
    70ZiraTorpedo Kutaisi3 : 0, 3 : 0
    71PenybontFC Santa Coloma0 : 3, 0 : 1
    72ByeSK Rapid
    73AlashkertYelimay Semey3 : 2, 1 : 1
    74ByeCFR Cluj
    76ByeTromso
    80ByeBrighton
    81MondorfDinamo Tbilisi1 : 1, 1 : 2
    82PetrovacZalgiris1 : 2, 1 : 3
    84ByeHajduk Split
    85RakowBye
    86ByeValletta
    88ByeHammarby
    89PaksBye
    90ByePanathinaikos
    91TrnavaBye
    92ByeCSKA 1948 Sofia
    96ByeHradec Kralove
    97GoteborgBye
    98CaernarfonLevadia0 : 5, 0 : 5
    99LNZ CherkasyBye
    100ByeGent
    101VllazniaMalisheva0 : 5, 2 : 1
    102ByeHibernian
    103BravoBye
    104Europa FCShkendija0 : 1, 0 : 5
    105PAOKBye
    109U. ClujBye
    110ByeBrann
    111Dila GoriVirtus0 : 1, 3 : 1
    112ByeApollon
    113AtalantaBye
    117Hapoel Tel AvivBye
    118ByeLudogorets
    119ZilinaBye
    120ByeGKS Katowice
    121BohemiansSt Josephs0 : 0, 2 : 0
    122Connahs Q.FC Ballkani2 : 3, 0 : 0
    124ByeMidtjylland
    125RijekaBye
    126ByeDerry City
    127VikingurStjarnan2 : 2, 1 : 3
    128DifferdangeIlves1 : 3, 0 : 0
    129RangersBye
    133VarazdinBye
    134ByeJablonec
    135GlentoranRFS0 : 2, 1 : 2
    136ByeVestri
    137ValurBye
    138ByeZrinjski
    139GAISBye
    140ByeNordsjaelland
    141Sheriff TiraspolBye
    144ByeSt. Gallen
    145FCSBBye
    146ByeAuda
    147AluminijBye
    148Dinamo CityFC Astana4 : 1, 0 : 1
    152ByePafos
    153Zimbru ChisinauBye
    154ByeNoah
    155AF ElbasaniBATE0 : 1, 1 : 1
    156ByeSion
    157VojvodinaBye
    158ByeAjax
    159ShelbourneBye
    160KaljuLinfield2 : 2, 1 : 0
    161Zeleznicar PancevoBye
    162ByeBraga
    163Neftci BakuBye
    164Din. MinskSileks2 : 0, 0 : 1
    165AEK LarnacaBye
    166ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    167DecicFK Liepaja1 : 2, 0 : 1
    168ByeAustria Vienna
    169TwenteBye
    171Dun. StredaBye
    172Velez MostarMilsami1 : 0, 1 : 1
    173Dyn. KyivBye
    176ByeQarabag
    177GetafeBye
    181PartizanBye
    182UNA StrassenLa Fiorita2 : 0, 1 : 0
    183FK PanevezysBye
    184ByeTobol
    185LuganoBye
    186ByeDukagjini
    187NSI RunavikHamrun2 : 1, 1 : 1
    188ByeKoper
    192ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Quarter-finals
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBye
    3Borac Banja LukaPetrocub3 : 3, 3 : 0
    4ML VitebskSutjeska2 : 1, 3 : 0
    5Shamrock RoversBye
    8ByeKuPS
    9Tre FioriBye
    10FlorianaDrita1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11FloraTNS1 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ByeInter Escaldes
    13KlaksvikBye
    15VardarRiga FC2 : 5, 2 : 3
    16BissenGyor1 : 1, 2 : 6
    17Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    20ByeLarne
    21HJKColeraine3 : 0, 5 : 0
    22MotherwellHB Torshavn3 : 0, 2 : 0
    24ByeFreiburg
    25Gornik ZabrzeBye
    28ByeMonaco
    29BasaksehirInter Turku0 : 2, 1 : 1
    30VaduzAtletic Escaldes2 : 0, 4 : 0
    31DebrecenPyunik Yerevan0 : 0, 1 : 0
    32Polissya ZhytomyrFC Copenhagen1 : 2, 3 : 3
    33HeartsBye
    35PaideZira1 : 1, 1 : 0
    36FC Santa ColomaSK Rapid2 : 6, 1 : 3
    37AlashkertCFR Cluj0 : 3, 1 : 1
    38ByeTromso
    40ByeBrighton
    41Dinamo TbilisiZalgiris2 : 7, 3 : 0
    42ByeHajduk Split
    43RakowValletta4 : 0, 3 : 1
    44ByeHammarby
    45PaksPanathinaikos2 : 2, 1 : 2
    46TrnavaCSKA 1948 Sofia0 : 1, 0 : 0
    48ByeHradec Kralove
    49GoteborgLevadia3 : 1, 1 : 2
    50LNZ CherkasyGent0 : 1, 0 : 0
    51MalishevaHibernian1 : 4, 2 : 0
    52BravoShkendija1 : 3, 2 : 1
    53PAOKBye
    55U. ClujBrann1 : 3, 2 : 2
    56Dila GoriApollon0 : 3, 0 : 4
    57AtalantaBye
    59Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets2 : 2, 2 : 0
    60ZilinaGKS Katowice1 : 3, 2 : 1
    61BohemiansFC Ballkani3 : 3, 2 : 1
    62ByeMidtjylland
    63RijekaDerry City1 : 0, 1 : 0
    64StjarnanIlves1 : 3, 1 : 0
    65RangersBye
    67VarazdinJablonec0 : 2, 3 : 2
    68RFSVestri1 : 1, 4 : 1
    69ValurZrinjski2 : 2, 1 : 0
    70GAISNordsjaelland0 : 6, 1 : 0
    71Sheriff TiraspolBye
    72ByeSt. Gallen
    73FCSBAuda1 : 4, 2 : 3
    74AluminijDinamo City0 : 3, 1 : 1
    76ByePafos
    77Zimbru ChisinauNoah1 : 2, 1 : 1
    78BATESion0 : 4, 1 : 1
    79VojvodinaAjax1 : 4, 1 : 4
    80ShelbourneKalju1 : 2, 5 : 2
    81Zeleznicar PancevoBraga0 : 4, 0 : 1
    82Neftci BakuDin. Minsk1 : 0, 2 : 4
    83AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem3 : 3, 0 : 1
    84FK LiepajaAustria Vienna1 : 3, 0 : 2
    85TwenteBye
    86Dun. StredaVelez Mostar3 : 0, 1 : 0
    87Dyn. KyivBye
    88ByeQarabag
    89GetafeBye
    91PartizanUNA Strassen1 : 0, 4 : 0
    92FK PanevezysTobol1 : 2, 1 : 1
    93LuganoDukagjini5 : 1, 1 : 0
    94NSI RunavikKoper4 : 1, 0 : 2
    96ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Semi-finals
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBye
    2Borac Banja LukaML Vitebsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Shamrock RoversBye
    4ByeKuPS
    5Tre FioriDrita0 : 5, 1 : 4
    6FloraInter Escaldes0 : 4, 0 : 2
    7KlaksvikBye
    8Riga FCGyor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    10ByeLarne
    11HJKMotherwell0 : 2, 1 : 1
    12ByeFreiburg
    13Gornik ZabrzeBye
    14ByeMonaco
    15Inter TurkuVaduz2 : 2, 2 : 1
    16DebrecenFC Copenhagen1 : 5, 0 : 3
    17HeartsBye
    18PaideSK Rapid0 : 2, 1 : 4
    19CFR ClujTromso1 : 2, 0 : 5
    20ByeBrighton
    21ZalgirisHajduk Split0 : 4, 2 : 5
    22RakowHammarby1 : 0, 0 : 0
    23PanathinaikosCSKA 1948 Sofia2 : 1, 1 : 1
    24ByeHradec Kralove
    25GoteborgGent1 : 1, 0 : 1
    26HibernianShkendija0 : 0, 2 : 1
    27PAOKBye
    28BrannApollon4 : 2, 0 : 1
    29AtalantaBye
    30Hapoel Tel AvivGKS Katowice1 : 2, 2 : 0
    31BohemiansMidtjylland2 : 3, 0 : 2
    32RijekaIlves1 : 1, 1 : 0
    33RangersBye
    34JablonecRFS2 : 1, 2 : 0
    35ValurNordsjaelland0 : 5, 0 : 2
    36Sheriff TiraspolSt. Gallen1 : 5, 1 : 3
    37AudaDinamo City0 : 4, 1 : 0
    38ByePafos
    39NoahSion1 : 2, 2 : 2
    40AjaxShelbourne2 : 2, 3 : 1
    41BragaDin. Minsk0 : 0, 1 : 0
    42Beitar JerusalemAustria Vienna2 : 2, 1 : 2
    43TwenteDun. Streda3 : 3, 6 : 0
    44Dyn. KyivQarabag0 : 2, 1 : 0
    45GetafeBye
    46PartizanTobol2 : 1, 3 : 0
    47LuganoNSI Runavik2 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Final
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBorac Banja Luka
    2Shamrock RoversKuPS
    3DritaInter Escaldes
    4KlaksvikRiga FC
    5Lincoln Red ImpsLarne
    6MotherwellFreiburg
    7Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
    8Inter TurkuFC Copenhagen
    9HeartsSK Rapid
    10TromsoBrighton
    11Hajduk SplitRakow
    12PanathinaikosHradec Kralove
    13GentHibernian
    14PAOKBrann
    15AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
    16MidtjyllandRijeka
    17RangersJablonec
    18NordsjaellandSt. Gallen
    19Dinamo CityPafos
    20SionAjax
    21BragaAustria Vienna
    22TwenteQarabag
    23GetafePartizan
    24LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv
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