Result
1:2 penalties
28/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Gold Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (515/573) | 76% (202/265) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (515/573) | 76% (202/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (27/43) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (114/140) | 52% (28/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Diaz I. (Pen),
- 45+4', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 46', Benguche J. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
- 49', Crisanto L. 🟨,
- 58', Diaz I. 🟨,
- 66', Quioto R. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 67', Alvarez J. ↓, Pineda C. ↑,
- 74', Martinez C. ↓, Griffith V. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez T. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
- 80', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ⚽, Pineda C. (A),
- 90+2', Gutierrez J. ↓, Davis E. ↑,
- 90+3', Andrade A. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Escobar F. (Pen),
- 1, Palma L. (Pen),
- 2, Diaz I. (Pen),
- 2, Arriaga K. (Pen),
- 3, Godoy A. (Pen),
- 3, Rosales J. (Pen),
- 4, Harvey C. (Pen),
- 4, Maldonado D. (Pen),
- 5, Davis E. (Pen),
- 5, Lozano C. (Pen),
- 6, Guerrero E. (Pen),
- 6, Pineda C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Panama
53.8% | Draw
26.2% | Honduras
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panama's form might have worsened.Honduras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panama than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honduras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panama - Honduras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.52) |
3.62 ↓
(4.43) |
4.73 ↓
(6.09) |
5.5%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panama - Honduras?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Panama will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Honduras will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panama: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Panama (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panama won 1.
- Panama has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Honduras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Panama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Panama is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Panama will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Panama won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Panama won against Honduras?
Panama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Honduras won against Panama?
Honduras has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panama - Honduras were as follows:
Latest results of Honduras
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Costa Rica (A2) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Canada (B1) | Guatemala (C2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mexico (A1) | Saudi Arabia (D2) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Panama (C1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Guatemala (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mexico (A1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | USA (D1) | Mexico (A1) | 1 : 2 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Panama - Honduras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Australia | ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 3, Univision Canada, VIVA |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 Netherlands | ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Aloula, KSA Sports 1 |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | Sky Sports Korea |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Maincast |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Concacaf GO, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | VIX App |
