Result
1:2
04/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (235/291) | 87% (436/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (235/291) | 87% (436/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 52% (12/23) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (49/76) | 74% (98/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Chalobah T. (A),
- 41', Gusto M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Delap L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Rios R. (A),
- 54', Nkunku C. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
- 54', Delap L. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 66', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 66', Allan ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 76', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 76', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
- 78', Rios R. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Weverton (Own goal),
- 85', Rios R. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 86', Colwill L. 🟨,
- 87', Neto P. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
- 90+1', Andrey Santos ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
23% | Draw
29% | Chelsea
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Palmeiras - Chelsea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.47) |
3.3 ↓
(3.41) |
2 ↓
(2.17) |
4.6%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Chelsea?
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 12%). Chelsea will win (votes: 60 - 72.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 62.7% – 81.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 3 - 15%). Chelsea (votes: 14 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
- AH +0.25 - Chelsea (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Palmeiras has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
- Chelsea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Gomez G.
(Red Card)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Chelsea: Caicedo M.
(Yellow Cards)
Castledine L.
(Back Injury)
Fofana W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kellyman O.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mudryk M.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palmeiras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Chelsea?
Palmeiras has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Palmeiras?
Chelsea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Chelsea were as follows:
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Chelsea
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Inter (E1) | Fluminense (F2) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Manchester City (G1) | Al Hilal (H2) | 3 : 4 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (A1) | Botafogo RJ (B2) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Benfica (C1) | Chelsea (D2) | 1 : 4 |
| 5 | PSG (B1) | Inter Miami (A2) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ (D1) | Bayern Munich (C2) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Real Madrid (H1) | Juventus (G2) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund (F1) | Monterrey (E2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense (F2) | Al Hilal (H2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (A1) | Chelsea (D2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | PSG (B1) | Bayern Munich (C2) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Real Madrid (H1) | Dortmund (F1) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense (F2) | Chelsea (D2) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | PSG (B1) | Real Madrid (H1) | 4 : 0 |
Final
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