Palestino vs Universidad de Chile: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Palestino - Universidad de Chile
Result
2:3
27/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 9
  • Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Palestino - Universidad de Chile - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.742.30
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (328/405)73% (228/312)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.742.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.431.82
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
166
Passes
81% (328/405)73% (228/312)
Long passes
61% (40/66)36% (23/64)
Passes in final third
79% (93/117)58% (49/85)
Crosses
23% (9/40)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.68
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
616
Tackles
71% (12/17)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5733
Clearances
932
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.821.43
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Guerra N. 🟨,
  • 11', Suarez C. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
  • 34', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 36', Ramirez N. 🟨,
  • 44', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', Parra P. , Benitez J. ,
  • 61', Guerra N. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 61', Di Yorio L. , Contreras R. ,
  • 65', 0 - 2, Fernandez L. , Contreras R. (A),
  • 68', Abrigo J. , Arias J. ,
  • 68', Carrasco B. , Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 68', Fernandez J. , Martinez Arce A. E. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 70', Diaz M. , Montes G. ,
  • 73', Castellon G. 🟨,
  • 78', Aranguiz C. , Moya F. ,
  • 78', Espinoza Hevia V. A. , Garguez Gomez I. A. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Contreras R. , Sepulveda M. (A),
  • 90+3', Moya F. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 3, Marabel J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Palestino
23.8%
Draw
26.3%
Universidad de Chile
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 28.8% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 28% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Palestino - Universidad de Chile Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.94
    (3.15)
    3.58
    (3.25)
    1.89
    (2.25)
    6.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Palestino - Universidad de Chile?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palestino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Palestino won 2.
    • Recent matches Palestino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Universidad de Chile is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Palestino won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Universidad de Chile - Palestino 1:0
    09.09.2024 Universidad de Chile - Palestino 0:1
    05.09.2024 Palestino - Universidad de Chile 0:5
    21.04.2024 Palestino - Universidad de Chile 2:2
    22.07.2023 Universidad de Chile - Palestino 0:1
    Latest results of Palestino
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    20.04.2025 OHiggins - Palestino 1:0
    Latest results of Universidad de Chile
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3Palestino1584322:14828
    4O'Higgins1575315:15026
    5U. De Chile1381429:131625
    6Cobresal1565419:18123
    7U. Catolica1464420:14622
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1363423:131021
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola14211112:27-157
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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