Debreceni vs Paksi SE: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nagyerdei Stadion (Debrecen).

: OTP Bank Liga - Round 32

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	0.55
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
0	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
75% (318/425)	69% (254/369)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.24
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
0	2
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
21	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	17
Passes
75% (318/425)	69% (254/369)
Long passes
51% (40/78)	42% (32/76)
Passes in final third
61% (72/118)	48% (57/119)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.78
Throw-ins
16	29
Fouls
17	13
Tackles
53% (8/15)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
72	70
Clearances
23	33
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.24	0.00
Goals prevented
0.24	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Windecker J. 🟨,
38', Otvos B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Windecker J. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
55', Domingues B. ↓, Vajda B. ↑,
64', Varga R. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
64', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
68', Szuhodovszki S. ↓, Dzsudzsak B. ↑,
72', Szappanos P. 🟥,
75', Gyurkits G. ↓, Kovacsik A. ↑,
77', Silye E. 🟨,
80', Lang A. 🟨,
90+3', Silye E. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Debreceni
54.9%

Draw
22.5%

Paksi SE
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

25%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

24.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Debreceni's performance.

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Debreceni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Debreceni - Paksi SE Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.13)	4.12 ↑ (3.7)	4.09 ↑ (2.95)	7.9% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Debreceni - Paksi SE?

Users Predictions: Debreceni will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Debreceni will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 1.
Debreceni has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Paks has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Debreceni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Debreceni is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:33. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Debreceni won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Debreceni won against Paksi SE?

Debreceni has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Debreceni?

Paksi SE has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Debreceni - Paksi SE were as follows:

22.02.2025 Paksi SE - Debreceni 4:3

19.10.2024 Debreceni - Paksi SE 0:5

10.03.2024 Paksi SE - Debreceni 1:1

12.11.2023 Debreceni - Paksi SE 1:0

27.09.2023 Paksi SE - Debreceni 2:0

Latest results of Debreceni

10.05.2025 Puskás Academy - Debreceni 4:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Debreceni - MTK Budapest 0:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Debreceni 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Debreceni - Zalaegerszegi TE 4:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Ujpest - Debreceni 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Paksi SE

14.05.2025 Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE 1:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi 2:3 ✺

04.05.2025 Fehérvár - Paksi SE 0:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Győri ETO - Paksi SE 2:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE 2:1 ✺

Hungarian NB I Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ferencvaros	33	20	9	4	64:31	33	69
2	Puskas Academy	33	20	6	7	58:38	20	66
3	Paks	33	16	9	8	65:47	18	57
4	Gyor	33	14	11	8	49:37	12	53
5	MTK Budapest	33	13	7	13	53:47	6	46
6	DVTK	33	11	11	11	43:51	-8	44
7	Ujpest	33	9	14	10	38:44	-6	41
8	Nyiregyhaza	33	9	9	15	31:52	-21	36
9	Debrecen	33	9	7	17	52:59	-7	34
10	Zalaegerszegi	33	7	13	13	35:42	-7	34
11	Fehervar FC	33	8	7	18	34:52	-18	31
12	Kecskemeti TE	33	4	13	16	31:53	-22	25

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Merkantil Bank Liga

Which TV channels are streaming of Debreceni - Paksi SE?

It is being streamed on channel


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +