Schalke 04 vs Paderborn: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Schalke 04 - Paderborn
Result
0:2
02/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
Schalke 04 - Paderborn - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.99
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
79% (317/402)80% (342/426)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.70
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
815
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2731
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
119
Passes
79% (317/402)80% (342/426)
Long passes
51% (29/57)59% (49/83)
Passes in final third
59% (80/135)66% (73/110)
Crosses
29% (6/21)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.58
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
911
Tackles
75% (9/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3442
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
2.701.46
Goals prevented
0.701.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Donkor A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Obermair R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Younes A. , Mohr T. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Mehlem M. , Ansah I. (A),
  • 59', Seguin P. 🟨,
  • 62', Hojlund E. , Ba P. M. ,
  • 62', Bachmann J. , Antwi-Adjei C. ,
  • 71', Seguin P. , Gruger M. ,
  • 71', Bulut T. , Gantenbein A. ,
  • 72', Michel S. , Castaneda S. ,
  • 80', Mehlem M. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 80', Brackelmann C. , Hoffmeier M. ,
  • 89', Ansah I. , Platte F. ,
  • 89', Bilbija F. , Klaas S. ,

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
24.5%
Draw
24.1%
Paderborn
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 25.3% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 25.3% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Schalke 04's form might have worsened.
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Schalke 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Schalke 04 - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.83
    (2.93)
    3.93
    (3.74)
    1.85
    (2.23)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Paderborn?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3.
    • Recent performances by Schalke have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paderborn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Drexler D. (Suspended) Karius L. (Groin Injury) Murkin D. J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:13. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Paderborn were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Paderborn - Schalke 04 2:4
    09.03.2024 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 3:3
    29.09.2023 Paderborn - Schalke 04 3:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    Latest results of Paderborn
    26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1
    19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3
    29.03.2025 Paderborn - Köln 1:2
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamburger SV ✔ 331611676:413559
    2FC Koln33177949:381158
    3Elversberg331510862:362655
    4Paderborn331510856:431355
    5Dusseldorf331411855:48753
    6Kaiserslautern331581056:51553
    7Magdeburg331311960:501050
    8Hannover331311940:35550
    9Karlsruher SC3313101054:55-149
    10Nurnberg331361456:56045
    11Hertha Berlin331271448:50-243
    12Darmstadt331091453:54-139
    13Schalke331081551:60-938
    14Greuther Furth33991542:57-1536
    15Preussen Munster338111438:41-335
    16Braunschweig338111437:60-2335
    17Ulm ✔ 336111634:46-1229
    18Regensburg ✔ 33672022:68-4625

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hamburger SV is Qualified for Bundesliga
    Ulm is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Schalke 04 - Paderborn?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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