Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld
18/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Paderborn
52.8%
Draw
25.4%
Arminia Bielefeld
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 25.5% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 24.8% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.78)
    3.81
    (3.73)
    4.32
    (4.52)
    5.2%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 0.
    • Paderborn is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paderborn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paderborn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    20.05.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn 2:2
    08.11.2022 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    27.09.2025 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 2:0
    20.09.2025 Hertha Berlin - Paderborn 0:2
    12.09.2025 Paderborn - Bochum 1:0
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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