Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
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Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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41% | 59% |
Total shots |
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11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Total shots |
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11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 4 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 21 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 11 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Pedro Bicalho ⚽, Carter A. (A),
- 27', Jeimes ↓, Pedro Z. ↑,
- 37', Costinha ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 43', Brenner 🟨,
- 45+2', Antunes V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Shinga K. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 66', Brenner ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
- 66', Martins D. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 73', Lumungo R. ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 73', Mota ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
- 74', Welton ↓, Joao Caiado ↑,
- 75', Ageu E. 🟨,
- 85', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
- 85', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
- 90+6', Joao Caiado 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alverca 59.8% | Draw 23.8% | Paços de Ferreira 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alverca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Alverca - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.44) |
3.94 ↓ (3.94) |
5.58 ↓ (7.69) |
7.2% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alverca - Paços de Ferreira?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Alverca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alverca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alverca is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Paços de Ferreira?
Alverca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Alverca?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
22.12.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Alverca
1:3
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tondela | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 64 |
2 | Alverca | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 58:34 | 24 | 63 |
3 | Vizela | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 50:30 | 20 | 62 |
4 | Benfica B | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
5 | Torreense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:42 | 7 | 54 |
6 | Leiria | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:37 | 12 | 52 |
7 | Chaves | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 40:34 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Feirense | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 49 |
9 | Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 46 |
10 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:41 | 2 | 45 |
11 | Penafiel | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:47 | -2 | 45 |
12 | Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
13 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 41 |
14 | FC Porto B | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 35 |
15 | Portimonense | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 38:54 | -16 | 34 |
16 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 34:50 | -16 | 33 |
17 | Oliveirense | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 30:64 | -34 | 29 |
18 | Mafra | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
Which TV channels are streaming of Alverca - Paços de Ferreira?
It is being streamed on channel
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Portugal | Sport TV1 |