Alverca vs Paços de Ferreira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 2 Alverca - Paços de Ferreira
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
Alverca - Paços de Ferreira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1521
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1911
Goalkeeper Saves
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Pedro Bicalho , Carter A. (A),
  • 27', Jeimes , Pedro Z. ,
  • 37', Costinha , Pinto J. ,
  • 43', Brenner 🟨,
  • 45+2', Antunes V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Shinga K. , Thauan Lara ,
  • 66', Brenner , Andrezinho ,
  • 66', Martins D. , Pires M. ,
  • 73', Lumungo R. , Anilson ,
  • 73', Mota , Morozov V. ,
  • 74', Welton , Joao Caiado ,
  • 75', Ageu E. 🟨,
  • 85', Carter A. , Joao Marcos ,
  • 85', Pedro Bicalho , Dias R. ,
  • 90+6', Joao Caiado 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alverca
59.8%
Draw
23.8%
Paços de Ferreira
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 23.5% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 22.5% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alverca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Alverca - Paços de Ferreira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.44)
    3.94
    (3.94)
    5.58
    (7.69)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alverca - Paços de Ferreira?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
    • Alverca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paços de Ferreira has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alverca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alverca is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Paços de Ferreira - Alverca 1:3
    Latest results of Alverca
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    20.04.2025 Alverca - Oliveirense 4:0
    13.04.2025 Vizela - Alverca 1:1
    06.04.2025 Alverca - Benfica B 0:0
    30.03.2025 Feirense - Alverca 0:1
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Alverca - Paços de Ferreira?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
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