Pachuca vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
1:2

04/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto).

: Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 4
Referee: Hernandez I. F. (Mex)

Pachuca - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
6	7
Corner Kicks
4	3
Yellow Cards
1	2
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
5	5
Corner Kicks
4	3
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Robert F. ⚽,
28', Nicosia N. 🟨,
28', Vazquez S. 🟨,
39', Martinez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Orejel J. ↓, Cadena M. ↑,
48', Garcia Ramirez M. P. ↓, Godinez A. ↑,
50', Vazquez S. ↓, Peraza C. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Corral V. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, van de Sanden S. ⚽,
66', Sanchez Stickel E. R. ↓, Nieto K. ↑,
68', Erceg A. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
78', Robert F. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
80', Oke A. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,

Chances of winning

Pachuca
63.4%

Draw
20.3%

Toluca
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pachuca's form might have worsened.

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Pachuca - Toluca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	4.65 ↓ (5)	5.79 ↓ (7.11)	6% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
Toluca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pachuca is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:24. (average 2.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.8:1.3).

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Toluca were as follows:

20.03.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 2:3

30.09.2024 Toluca - Pachuca 1:3

18.03.2024 Pachuca - Toluca 4:0

30.07.2023 Toluca - Pachuca 2:1

16.01.2023 Pachuca - Toluca 10:2

Latest results of Pachuca

31.07.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 1:1 ✺

28.07.2025 Mazatlan - Pachuca 0:9 ✺

16.07.2025 Monterrey - Pachuca 0:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Puebla - Pachuca 1:5 ✺

12.05.2025 Club America - Pachuca 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Toluca

24.07.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 1:3 ✺

19.07.2025 Toluca - Santos Laguna 1:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Tigres UANL - Toluca 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Toluca - Club America 4:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Puebla - Toluca 1:3 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tigres UANL W	13	10	2	1	48:7	41	32
2	Pachuca W	13	9	3	1	42:16	26	30
3	Club America W	13	9	2	2	45:16	29	29
4	Toluca W	14	8	4	2	28:15	13	28
5	Guadalajara Chivas W	13	8	2	3	19:11	8	26
6	Monterrey W	13	7	2	4	28:19	9	23
7	UNAM Pumas W	13	7	1	5	27:20	7	22
8	Cruz Azul W	14	6	3	5	32:23	9	21
9	Atl. San Luis W	13	6	3	4	19:15	4	21
10	Club Leon W	13	6	3	4	23:23	0	21
11	Juarez W	13	5	4	4	16:14	2	19
12	Atlas W	13	5	4	4	19:21	-2	19
13	Club Tijuana W	14	3	3	8	15:22	-7	12
14	Queretaro W	14	2	4	8	13:42	-29	10
15	Santos Laguna W	13	2	2	9	15:32	-17	8
16	Necaxa W	14	2	2	10	8:32	-24	8
17	Puebla W	13	1	2	10	5:33	-28	5
18	Mazatlan FC W	14	0	2	12	7:48	-41	2

Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Toluca?

It is being streamed on channel


Mexico	Tubi TV