Pachuca vs Toluca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Women Pachuca - Toluca
Result
1:2
04/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 4
  • Referee: Hernandez I. F. (Mex)
Pachuca - Toluca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Robert F. ,
  • 28', Nicosia N. 🟨,
  • 28', Vazquez S. 🟨,
  • 39', Martinez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Orejel J. , Cadena M. ,
  • 48', Garcia Ramirez M. P. , Godinez A. ,
  • 50', Vazquez S. , Peraza C. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Corral V. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, van de Sanden S. ,
  • 66', Sanchez Stickel E. R. , Nieto K. ,
  • 68', Erceg A. , Cuevas B. ,
  • 78', Robert F. , Monroy F. ,
  • 80', Oke A. , Diaz N. ,

Chances of winning


Pachuca
63.4%
Draw
20.3%
Toluca
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 18.4% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pachuca's form might have worsened.
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Pachuca - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.34)
    4.65
    (5)
    5.79
    (7.11)
    6%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
    • Toluca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pachuca is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:24. (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Toluca were as follows:
    20.03.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 2:3
    30.09.2024 Toluca - Pachuca 1:3
    18.03.2024 Pachuca - Toluca 4:0
    30.07.2023 Toluca - Pachuca 2:1
    16.01.2023 Pachuca - Toluca 10:2
    Latest results of Pachuca
    31.07.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 1:1
    28.07.2025 Mazatlan - Pachuca 0:9
    16.07.2025 Monterrey - Pachuca 0:1
    13.07.2025 Puebla - Pachuca 1:5
    12.05.2025 Club America - Pachuca 2:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    24.07.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 1:3
    19.07.2025 Toluca - Santos Laguna 1:0
    13.07.2025 Tigres UANL - Toluca 1:1
    18.04.2025 Toluca - Club America 4:3
    13.04.2025 Puebla - Toluca 1:3
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Club America W770028:32521
    2Toluca W752010:4617
    3Tigres UANL W751119:41516
    4Monterrey W750220:11915
    5Pachuca W742124:91514
    6UNAM Pumas W641113:6713
    7Guadalajara Chivas W74129:5413
    8Juarez W73229:5411
    9Atl. San Luis W73135:8-310
    10Club Leon W723210:11-19
    11Cruz Azul W722314:1048
    12Atlas W71335:12-76
    13Necaxa W61236:14-85
    14Santos Laguna W61145:11-64
    15Queretaro W70347:23-163
    16Club Tijuana W70255:14-92
    17Puebla W70163:20-171
    18Mazatlan FC W60153:25-221

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Toluca?
    It is being streamed on channel
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