Pachuca vs Tijuana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Pachuca - Tijuana
16/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
Pachuca - Tijuana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.570.09
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
226
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
123
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
84
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
816
Offsides
31
Fouls
168
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2617
Touches in the Opposition Box
315
Passes
87% (336/388)74% (230/310)
Passes in the final third
83% (140/169)52% (48/93)
Crosses
28% (5/18)20% (2/10)
Tackles
55% (11/20)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
2225
Interceptions
1013

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Homenchenko S. , Idrissi O. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, John Kennedy , Idrissi O. (A),
  • 36', Porozo J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', John Kennedy 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Vega A. , Mora G. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Rondon S. ,
  • 62', Idrissi O. 🟨,
  • 68', Idrissi O. , Brigido J. ,
  • 73', John Kennedy , Sigala J. ,
  • 73', Homenchenko S. , Pedraza P. ,
  • 77', Mejia A. 🟨,
  • 78', Tona I. , Corona J. ,
  • 78', Gomez A. , Arciga R. ,
  • 78', Alvarez E. , Nicholson S. ,
  • 83', Gonzalez O. , Dominguez A. ,
  • 83', Montiel E. , Bautista A. ,
  • 85', Dominguez A. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Zuniga J. , Nicholson S. (A),
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Sigala J. , Rondon S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pachuca
67.6%
Draw
18.7%
Tijuana
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 22.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 22.2% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.
  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pachuca - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.64)
    5.04
    (4.18)
    6.86
    (4.63)
    5.8%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Pachuca - Tijuana?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 3.
    • Recent matches Pachuca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tijuana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tijuana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Pachuca is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pachuca: Barreto S. D. (Knee Injury) Micolta A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tijuana: Bilbao U. (Red Card)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 44:27 (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pachuca won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29:8 (average 2.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Tijuana were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:1
    03.02.2024 Pachuca - Tijuana 3:2
    10.11.2023 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:3
    26.02.2023 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:0
    11.09.2022 Pachuca - Tijuana 6:1
    Latest results of Pachuca
    08.03.2025 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:1
    01.03.2025 Juárez - Pachuca 2:2
    26.02.2025 Pachuca - Puebla 2:1
    16.02.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 2:1
    Latest results of Tijuana
    09.03.2025 Tijuana - Atlas 3:4
    01.03.2025 Club León - Tijuana 2:1
    25.02.2025 Tijuana - UNAM 4:2
    21.02.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:0
    14.02.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:2
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca (1)Monterrey (8)2 : 1, 2 : 3
    2Tigres UANL (4)Necaxa (5)2 : 2, 0 : 0
    3Club America (2)Pachuca (7)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Cruz Azul (3)Club Leon (6)2 : 1, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca (1)Tigres UANL (4)3 : 0, 1 : 1
    2Club America (2)Cruz Azul (3)2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Toluca (1)Club America (2)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Tijuana?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoTubi TV
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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