Pachuca vs Tijuana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Pachuca - Tijuana
Result
0:2
16/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
Pachuca - Tijuana - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.89
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
235
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
88% (469/531)73% (181/249)
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.350.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.360.66
Total shots
235
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
389
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
88% (469/531)73% (181/249)
Long passes
55% (18/33)43% (30/70)
Passes in final third
82% (146/179)49% (32/65)
Crosses
21% (8/38)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.35
Throw-ins
3017
Fouls
913
Tackles
54% (7/13)36% (4/11)
Duels won
4339
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.660.36
Goals prevented
-1.340.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', Porozo J. 🟨,
  • 18', Bautista A. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Mora G. , Arciga R. (A),
  • 44', Sanchez C. 🟨,
  • 45', Montiel E. 🟨,
  • 45', Boya F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Castaneda K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Guzman V. , Kenedy ,
  • 46', Togni G. , Idrissi O. ,
  • 47', Ortiz Orozco P. N. 🟨,
  • 52', Idrissi O. 🟨,
  • 53', Arciga R. 🟨,
  • 62', Blanco D. 🟥,
  • 63', Arciga R. , Preciado A. ,
  • 63', Mora G. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 67', Sanchez C. , Alemao ,
  • 76', Castaneda K. , Vega A. ,
  • 86', Inzunza R. , Mejia A. ,
  • 86', Bautista A. , Carvalho W. ,
  • 87', Barreto S. D. , Berlanga J. ,
  • 90+13', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pachuca
66.8%
Draw
19.8%
Tijuana
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 17% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 16.3% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pachuca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Pachuca - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.31)
    4.75
    (5.52)
    6.94
    (8.02)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Pachuca - Tijuana?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
    • Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tijuana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pachuca is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:7. (average 3.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Tijuana were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:1
    03.02.2024 Pachuca - Tijuana 3:2
    10.11.2023 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:3
    26.02.2023 Tijuana - Pachuca 2:0
    11.09.2022 Pachuca - Tijuana 6:1
    Latest results of Pachuca
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    05.08.2025 Houston Dynamo - Pachuca 1:2
    01.08.2025 Los Angeles - Pachuca 2:1
    29.07.2025 Pachuca - San Diego 3:2
    26.07.2025 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:0
    Latest results of Tijuana
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    06.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Tijuana 2:1
    03.08.2025 Colorado Rapids - Tijuana 1:2
    25.07.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey760117:9818
    2Club America752015:6917
    3Cruz Azul752015:8717
    4Tigres UANL641116:8813
    5Toluca741216:10613
    6Pachuca741211:7413
    7Club Tijuana733113:9412
    8Juarez73227:7011
    9Club Leon73138:9-110
    10UNAM Pumas72327:8-19
    11Santos Laguna72059:11-26
    12Mazatlan FC71338:10-26
    13Atl. San Luis720510:13-36
    14Atlas712412:19-75
    15Necaxa71246:13-75
    16Guadalajara Chivas61149:12-34
    17Queretaro71157:15-84
    18Puebla71156:18-124

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Tijuana?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
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