Pachuca vs Cruz Azul: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Pachuca - Cruz Azul
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
Pachuca - Cruz Azul - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.22
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
85% (325/381)85% (328/388)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.72
Total shots
136
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (325/381)85% (328/388)
Long passes
64% (43/67)46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
68% (63/93)62% (49/79)
Crosses
19% (5/26)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.32
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1111
Tackles
60% (9/15)60% (12/20)
Duels won
3337
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.721.68
Goals prevented
-0.281.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Orozco J. 🟥,
  • 20', Rivero I. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Quinones L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodriguez C. , Lira E. ,
  • 56', Quinones L. 🟥,
  • 62', Aceves A. 🟥,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
  • 67', Dominguez A. , Sanchez C. ,
  • 67', Idrissi O. , Guzman V. ,
  • 71', Cadiz J. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 71', Bautista A. , Kenedy ,
  • 75', Paradela J. , Bogusz M. ,
  • 75', Romero L. , Campos O. ,
  • 85', Rotondi C. , Faravelli L. ,
  • 85', Rivero I. , Morales A. ,
  • 90+4', Montiel E. , Togni G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pachuca
37.3%
Draw
28.9%
Cruz Azul
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 27.5% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Pachuca - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.46)
    3.37
    (3.4)
    2.96
    (2.73)
    2.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pachuca - Cruz Azul?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.
    • Pachuca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cruz Azul is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Pachuca: Cadiz J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Cruz Azul - Pachuca 2:1
    28.09.2024 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 2:4
    13.01.2024 Cruz Azul - Pachuca 0:1
    23.08.2023 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 1:0
    01.04.2023 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 0:2
    Latest results of Pachuca
    30.08.2025 Club América - Pachuca 2:0
    23.08.2025 Club León - Pachuca 1:1
    16.08.2025 Pachuca - Tijuana 0:2
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    2Toluca1071228:131522
    3Monterrey1071222:17522
    4Club America1063119:10921
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    7Juarez1043313:12115
    8Pachuca1042413:12114
    9UNAM Pumas1034313:13013
    10Club Leon1033410:16-612
    11Guadalajara Chivas1032514:17-311
    12Atl. San Luis1031615:16-110
    13Santos Laguna1031613:17-410
    14Necaxa102359:17-89
    15Mazatlan FC1015412:17-58
    16Queretaro1022611:18-78
    17Atlas1014515:24-97
    18Puebla101279:24-155

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Cruz Azul?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
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