Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.16 | 1.22 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (325/381) | 85% (328/388) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.16 | 1.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.68 | 0.72 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
85% (325/381) | 85% (328/388) |
Long passes |
---|
64% (43/67) | 46% (28/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (63/93) | 62% (49/79) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (5/26) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 0.32 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.72 | 1.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.28 | 1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Orozco J. 🟥,
- 20', Rivero I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Quinones L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
- 56', Quinones L. 🟥,
- 62', Aceves A. 🟥,
- 65', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
- 67', Dominguez A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 67', Idrissi O. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 71', Cadiz J. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 71', Bautista A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 75', Paradela J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 75', Romero L. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 85', Rotondi C. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 85', Rivero I. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 90+4', Montiel E. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pachuca 37.3% | Draw 28.9% | Cruz Azul 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Pachuca - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.46) |
3.37 ↓ (3.4) |
2.96 ↑ (2.73) |
2.2% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Cruz Azul?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.
- Pachuca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruz Azul is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Cadiz J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Cruz Azul?
Pachuca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Pachuca?
Cruz Azul has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Cruz Azul were as follows:
08.02.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Pachuca
2:1
28.09.2024
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
2:4
13.01.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Pachuca
0:1
23.08.2023
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
01.04.2023
Pachuca
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
Latest results of Pachuca
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:13 | 15 | 22 |
3 | Monterrey | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
7 | Juarez | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Pachuca | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
9 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Club Leon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
11 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Atl. San Luis | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
13 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 |
14 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Mazatlan FC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
16 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
17 | Atlas | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 7 |
18 | Puebla | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Pachuca - Cruz Azul?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |