Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
0:2
29/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Final
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
68%81%
1st serve points won
60% (24/40)85% (33/39)
2nd serve points won
42% (8/19)44% (4/9)
Break Points Saved
3/60/0
1st return points won
15% (6/39)40% (16/40)
2nd return points won
56% (5/9)58% (11/19)
Break Points Converted
0/03/6
Winners
1323
Unforced errors
3021
Net points won
50% (4/8)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
54% (32/59)77% (37/48)
Return Points Won
23% (11/48)46% (27/59)
Total Points Won
40% (43/107)60% (64/107)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
50.6%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.78)

    1.88
    (1.93)
    7.3%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Carreno Busta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Llamas Ruiz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz 3:0
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
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