Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Leandro Riedi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Cincinnati Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi
Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
64%64%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (31/44)82% (42/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (14/25)38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
18% (9/51)30% (13/44)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (18/29)44% (11/25)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)29% (2/7)
Winners
2029
Unforced Errors
727
Net Points Won
50% (1/2)92% (11/12)
Service Points Won
65% (45/69)66% (53/80)
Return Points Won
34% (27/80)35% (24/69)
Total Points Won
48% (72/149)52% (77/149)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
64.8%
Leandro Riedi
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.
  • Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leandro Riedi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leandro Riedi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.9)

    2.71
    (1.9)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Riedi will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Riedi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93. Riedi is ranked ATP: 487.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Riedi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Latest results of Leandro Riedi
    30.07.2025 Evan Bynoe - Leandro Riedi Riedi L. retired
    09.07.2025 Leandro Riedi - Paul Jubb 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.2 : 1
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)0 : 2
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.2 : 0
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.2 : 0
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)2 : 0
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)2 : 1
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)1 : 2
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.2 : 1
    44ByeCazaux A. (LL)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    47Vukic A. (LL)Basavareddy N. (WC)0 : 2
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.0 : 2
    51Comesana F.Munar J.2 : 0
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)2 : 1
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)2 : 0
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.0 : 2
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.2 : 0
    2Baez S.Diallo G. (30)0 : 2
    3Machac T. (19)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)0 : 2
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    6Etcheverry T. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (23)0 : 2
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)2 : 1
    9Fritz T. (4)Nava E.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)0 : 2
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (17)Fonseca J.1 : 0
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)2 : 1
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)0 : 2
    15Michelsen A. (28)Moutet C.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (5)Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    18Bautista-Agut R.Norrie C. (32)2 : 0
    19Lehecka J. (22)Boyer T.2 : 1
    20Walton A.Medvedev D. (12)2 : 1
    21Khachanov K. (14)Royer V.2 : 0
    22Brooksby J.Cazaux A.2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (27)Blockx A.2 : 1
    24Basavareddy N.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    25De Minaur A. (6)Opelka R.0 : 2
    26Comesana F.Darderi L. (RET.) (29)1 : 0
    27Popyrin A. (21)Landaluce M.2 : 0
    28Tien L.Rublev A. (9)0 : 2
    29Mensik J. (16)Quinn E.2 : 0
    30Nardi L.Shapovalov D. (24)2 : 1
    31Griekspoor T. (26)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    32Dzumhur D.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Diallo G. (30)2 : 0
    2Mannarino A.Paul T. (13)2 : 1
    3Rinderknech A. (RET.)Auger-Aliassime F. (23)0 : 1
    4Tsitsipas S. (25)Bonzi B.1 : 2
    5Fritz T. (4)Sonego L. (31)2 : 0
    6Fonseca J.Atmane T.0 : 2
    7Tiafoe F. (10)Humbert U. (20)2 : 0
    8Michelsen A. (28)Rune H. (7)0 : 2
    9Shelton B. (5)Bautista-Agut R.
    10Lehecka J. (22)Walton A.2 : 0
    11Khachanov K. (14)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    12Nakashima B. (27)Zverev A. (3)0 : 1
    13Opelka R.Comesana F.1 : 2
    14Popyrin A. (21)Rublev A. (9)1 : 2
    15Mensik J. (RET.) (16)Nardi L.0 : 1
    16Medjedovic H.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Mannarino A.
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (23)Bonzi B.
    3Fritz T. (4)Atmane T.
    4Tiafoe F. (RET.) (10)Rune H. (7)0 : 1
    5TBD #9Lehecka J. (22)
    6Khachanov K. (14)TBD #12
    7Comesana F.Rublev A. (9)
    8Nardi L.Alcaraz C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Rune H. (7)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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