Oxford United vs Queens Park Rangers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers
Result
1:3
09/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.38
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
76% (306/404)76% (291/382)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.182.14
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1718
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
76% (306/404)76% (291/382)
Long passes
37% (27/73)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
57% (61/107)55% (59/108)
Crosses
14% (4/28)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.07
Fouls
1411
Tackles
76% (16/21)55% (11/20)
Duels won
6160
Clearances Total
2951
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.141.18
Goals prevented
-0.010.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Edwards R. , Madsen N. (A),
  • 12', Brown C. , Bennett J. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, ter Haar Romeny O. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', ter Haar Romeny O. , Goodrham T. ,
  • 61', ter Avest H. , Mills S. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Mills S. ,
  • 64', Mills S. 🟨,
  • 64', Bennie D. , Yang Min-Hyuk ,
  • 64', Field S. , Andersen L. ,
  • 69', Paal K. , Fox M. ,
  • 75', Harris M. , Rodrigues R. ,
  • 75', Vaulks W. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 82', Madsen N. , Ashby H. ,
  • 83', Smyth P. , Dembele K. ,
  • 85', Andersen L. 🟨,
  • 87', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 89', Nardi P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Yang Min-Hyuk , Dembele K. (A),
  • 90+2', Dembele S. , Matos A. ,
  • 90+7', Colback J. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Colback J. , Morgan K. ,

Chances of winning


Oxford United
37.5%
Draw
31.3%
Queens Park Rangers
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 29% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 28.4% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.63)
    3.02
    (3.2)
    3.04
    (2.6)
    5.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). QPR will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 64.1%89.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oxford United will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 16).
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • QPR is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in QPR: Celar Z. (Knock) Chair I. (Hamstring Injury) Cook S. (Injury) Frey M. (Muscle Injury) Kolli R. (Leg Injury) Saito K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Leigh G. (Muscle Injury) Moore E. (Hamstring Injury) Phillips M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in QPR: Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Lloyd A. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United 2:0
    29.07.2023 Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers 5:0
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bristol City11004:133
    2Stoke11003:123
    3Leicester11002:113
    4Southampton11002:113
    5Millwall11002:113
    6Middlesbrough11001:013
    7Portsmouth11001:013
    8Charlton11001:013
    9West Brom11001:013
    10Birmingham10101:101
    11Ipswich10101:101
    12Preston10101:101
    13QPR10101:101
    14Coventry10100:001
    15Hull10100:001
    16Norwich10011:2-10
    17Sheffield Wed10011:2-10
    18Wrexham10011:2-10
    19Blackburn10010:1-10
    20Watford10010:1-10
    21Swansea10010:1-10
    22Oxford Utd10010:1-10
    23Derby10011:3-20
    24Sheffield Utd10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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