Middlesbrough vs Oxford United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Middlesbrough - Oxford United
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 39
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
Middlesbrough - Oxford United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.45
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
86% (521/609)65% (140/215)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.33
Total shots
249
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
152
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
3814
Through passes
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
115
Passes
86% (521/609)65% (140/215)
Long passes
24% (8/33)27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
80% (200/251)47% (27/58)
Crosses
12% (3/25)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.08
Fouls
511
Tackles
73% (11/15)65% (15/23)
Duels won
4246
Clearances Total
3147
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.331.46
Goals prevented
0.33-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Helik M. , Harris M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Phillips M. , Kioso P. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Iheanacho K. , Iling Junior S. (A),
  • 58', Harris M. 🟨,
  • 65', Placheta P. , Mills S. ,
  • 65', Harris M. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 65', Dembele S. , Goodrham T. ,
  • 66', Burgzorg D. , Whittaker M. ,
  • 75', Iheanacho K. , Forss M. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Neto Borges , Iling Junior S. (A),
  • 83', ter Avest H. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 85', Conway T. , van den Berg R. ,
  • 85', Iling Junior S. , Giles R. ,
  • 87', ter Haar Romeny O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
61%
Draw
22.8%
Oxford United
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 22.5% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 22.1% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Middlesbrough - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.56)
    4.19
    (4.19)
    5.77
    (5.55)
    5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 66.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 18).
    • Middlesbrough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Oxford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Hip Injury) Bradshaw T. (Knee Injury) Leigh G. (Muscle Injury) Moore E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Oxford United were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Oxford United - Middlesbrough 2:6
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1064029:72222
    2Middlesbrough1063114:7721
    3Stoke1053212:6618
    4Leicester1045114:9517
    5West Brom1052311:11017
    6Millwall1052311:13-217
    7Bristol City1044216:10616
    8Preston1044212:9316
    9Charlton1043310:9115
    10Hull1043317:18-115
    11QPR1043314:16-215
    12Ipswich934216:10613
    13Swansea1034310:10013
    14Portsmouth103439:10-113
    15Southampton1026211:12-112
    16Watford1033411:12-112
    17Birmingham1033410:14-412
    18Wrexham1024414:16-210
    19Oxford Utd1023511:13-29
    20Norwich1022611:15-48
    21Derby1015411:16-58
    22Blackburn92167:13-67
    23Sheffield Utd102084:16-126
    24Sheffield Wed101369:22-136

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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