Oxford United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion
Result
0:6
27/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.882.39
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1919
Shots on target
109
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
83% (231/278)91% (461/506)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.882.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.443.34
Total shots
1919
Shots on target
109
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
58
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
77
Passes
83% (231/278)91% (461/506)
Long passes
51% (27/53)69% (24/35)
Passes in final third
63% (31/49)86% (115/134)
Crosses
17% (4/24)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.211.22
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
78
Tackles
65% (11/17)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3543
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper Saves
310
xGOT faced
3.342.44
Goals prevented
-2.662.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Boscagli O. , Gruda B. (A),
  • 20', 0 - 2, Gruda B. , Veltman J. (A),
  • 40', Mills S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 54', Spencer B. , Sibley L. ,
  • 60', 0 - 3, Gomez D. , Coppola D. (A),
  • 66', Kadioglu F. , Watson T. ,
  • 66', Gomez D. , Tzimas S. ,
  • 66', Hinshelwood J. , Baleba C. ,
  • 66', Placheta P. , Prelec N. ,
  • 67', Brannagan C. , De Keersmaecker B. ,
  • 67', Phillips M. , Harris L. ,
  • 71', 0 - 4, Tzimas S. , Howell H. (A),
  • 77', 0 - 5, Tzimas S. , Howell H. (A),
  • 78', Milner J. , Kostoulas C. ,
  • 78', Veltman J. , Tasker C. ,
  • 83', Harris M. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 86', 0 - 6, Watson T. , Tzimas S. (A),

Chances of winning


Oxford United
13.6%
Draw
19.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 23.4% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9% 22.9% 61.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brighton & Hove Albion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.98
    (5.75)
    4.72
    (4)
    1.42
    (1.55)
    5.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Oxford United - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Oxford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brighton & Hove is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Harris L. (Ankle Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Prelec N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Rutter G. (Injury) Watson T. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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