Ourense CF vs Real Madrid Castilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Ourense CF
32.8%
Draw
29.5%
Real Madrid Castilla
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 27.9% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.65)
    3.13
    (3.1)
    2.43
    (2.4)
    9.6%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    04.10.2025 Ferrol - Ourense CF 1:1
    01.10.2025 Bergantiños - Ourense CF 0:2
    27.09.2025 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 1:2
    21.09.2025 Tenerife - Ourense CF 3:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife761016:21419
    2Celta Vigo B742110:4614
    3Racing Club Ferrol74219:6314
    4Real Aviles741214:13113
    5Guadalajara73229:7211
    6Barakaldo72418:7110
    7Pontevedra73136:7-110
    8Zamora72328:719
    9Arenteiro72326:519
    10Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    11Osasuna B72324:5-19
    12Real Madrid B73047:9-29
    13CF Talavera72237:8-18
    14Lugo72234:5-18
    15Arenas Getxo72237:11-48
    16Ponferradina72148:9-17
    17Cacereno71426:8-27
    18Unionistas72056:10-46
    19Merida AD72057:14-76
    20Ourense CF70434:9-54

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

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