Lugo vs Ourense CF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Lugo - Ourense CF
Result
0:2
29/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
Lugo - Ourense CF - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
105
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Noriega J. ,
  • 20', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 33', Lizancos A. 🟨,
  • 34', Ramos J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ramos J. , Xesc Fullana ,
  • 60', Martinez R. , Vidal D. ,
  • 60', Pereira P. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez Y. , Mendoza B. ,
  • 69', Raigal J. 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 2, Raigal J. ,
  • 72', Noriega J. , Juanma Bravo ,
  • 72', Raigal J. , Gil A. ,
  • 77', Sanchez A. , Prada R. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 85', Reniero N. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 85', Perero G. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 90', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
39.7%
Draw
31.3%
Ourense CF
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 29% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 30% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugo - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.94)
    2.93
    (3.15)
    3.22
    (3.85)
    8.7%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13).
    • Recent matches Lugo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ourense CF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Lugo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Ourense CF were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Ourense CF - Lugo 2:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    23.03.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:1
    19.03.2025 Celta de Vigo B - Lugo 1:2
    09.03.2025 Barakaldo - Lugo 3:2
    01.03.2025 Lugo - Tarazona 1:2
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid B11002:113
    2Merida AD11001:013
    3Osasuna B11001:013
    4Pontevedra10101:101
    5Cacereno10101:101
    6Zamora10100:001
    7Celta Vigo B10100:001
    8Racing Club Ferrol00000:000
    9Tenerife00000:000
    10Ponferradina00000:000
    11CF Talavera00000:000
    12Ath Bilbao B00000:000
    13Guadalajara00000:000
    14Real Aviles00000:000
    15Arenas Getxo00000:000
    16Ourense CF00000:000
    17Arenteiro00000:000
    18Lugo10011:2-10
    19Barakaldo10010:1-10
    20Unionistas10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lugo - Ourense CF?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2
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