Covadonga vs Ourense CF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Covadonga - Ourense CF
Result
2:2
04/02/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21
Covadonga - Ourense CF - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Covadonga - Ourense CF live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Chances of winning


Covadonga
20.5%
Draw
30.6%
Ourense CF
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 30.8% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 31.2% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Covadonga - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (2.7)
    3.01
    (2.88)
    1.89
    (2.45)
    8.4%
    (12.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Covadonga - Ourense CF?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Covadonga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ourense CF: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Covadonga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ourense CF is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Ourense CF were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Ourense CF - Covadonga 3:1
    Latest results of Covadonga
    27.01.2024 Compostela - Covadonga 2:0
    21.01.2024 Zamora - Covadonga 2:0
    14.01.2024 Covadonga - Arandina 2:1
    17.12.2023 Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga 0:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril440010:3712
    2Real Avila44008:3512
    3R. Oviedo B33007:349
    4Gimnastica Segoviana42116:337
    5Salamanca42116:427
    6Marino de Luanco42114:227
    7Numancia42115:507
    8Sarriana42026:516
    9Bergantinos41217:615
    10Coruxo FC31113:304
    11Rayo Cantabria41124:5-14
    12Valladolid Promesas41125:7-24
    13Burgos CF B40312:5-33
    14Atl. Astorga41034:8-43
    15Langreo40223:6-32
    16Lealtad40223:6-32
    17UD Ourense40131:4-31
    18UD Samano40133:9-61

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan