Covadonga vs Ourense CF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Covadonga - Ourense CF
Result
2:2
04/02/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21
Covadonga - Ourense CF - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Covadonga
20.5%
Draw
30.6%
Ourense CF
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 30.8% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 31.2% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Covadonga - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (2.7)
    3.01
    (2.88)
    1.89
    (2.45)
    8.4%
    (12.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Covadonga - Ourense CF?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Covadonga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ourense CF is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Ourense CF were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Ourense CF - Covadonga 3:1
    Latest results of Covadonga
    27.01.2024 Compostela - Covadonga 2:0
    21.01.2024 Zamora - Covadonga 2:0
    14.01.2024 Covadonga - Arandina 2:1
    17.12.2023 Rayo Cantabria - Covadonga 0:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1La UnionTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    2Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    3CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    4CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    5NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    6UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    7BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    8Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    9SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0
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