Oulu vs Ilves: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Oulu - Ilves
Result
0:4
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Oulu - Ilves - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.092.40
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
73% (212/289)85% (467/550)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.092.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.223.99
Total shots
716
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1332
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
915
Passes
73% (212/289)85% (467/550)
Long passes
33% (16/48)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)68% (106/156)
Crosses
11% (1/9)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.111.68
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1513
Tackles
36% (4/11)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4155
Clearances
3018
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
3.990.22
Goals prevented
-0.010.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Azongnitode C. 🟨,
  • 14', Rale M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Hytonen T. , Riski Ro. (A),
  • 53', 0 - 2, Riski Ro. (Pen),
  • 57', Harrison S. , Ghezali L. ,
  • 57', Jokelainen N. , Rennicks J. ,
  • 69', Paananen A. , Paananen J. ,
  • 69', Jukkola O. , Wallius K. ,
  • 69', Kanga J. , Stjopin M. ,
  • 69', Virtanen O. , Krkalic F. ,
  • 76', Tiihonen O. 🟨,
  • 78', Riski Ro. , Kilo J. ,
  • 81', Silander S. , Lehtonen J. ,
  • 81', Azongnitode C. , Ojala M. ,
  • 81', 0 - 3, Veteli J. ,
  • 85', Hytonen T. , Akinyemi A. ,
  • 86', 0 - 4, Kilo J. ,
  • 90+2', Miettunen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oulu
22.5%
Draw
22.7%
Ilves
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 22% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 21.7% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • The chances for Ilves have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Oulu - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.23
    (4)
    4.12
    (4.2)
    1.71
    (1.69)
    6.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Oulu - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Oulu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Inactive) Ghezali L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oulu: Schulz N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - Ilves were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Ilves - Oulu 0:0
    14.03.2025 Ilves - Oulu 3:0
    01.02.2025 Oulu - Ilves 1:2
    04.08.2024 Oulu - Ilves 0:1
    04.05.2024 Ilves - Oulu 3:2
    Latest results of Oulu
    08.08.2025 Inter Turku - Oulu 3:2
    02.08.2025 Oulu - FF Jaro 0:1
    26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 0:1
    20.07.2025 HJK - Oulu 3:1
    13.07.2025 Oulu - KTP Kotka 3:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    11.08.2025 HJK - Ilves 5:1
    04.08.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 2:2
    31.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Ilves 5:0
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    20.07.2025 FF Jaro - Ilves 0:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 19127043:162743
    2Ilves ✔ 20123544:261839
    3KuPS ✔ 19114433:201337
    4HJK ✔ 19112645:252035
    5SJK ✔ 19104537:28934
    6Gnistan2067730:35-525
    7VPS2057828:30-222
    8Jaro1964922:28-622
    9Mariehamn2056922:38-1621
    10Haka19441122:35-1316
    11AC Oulu20431325:43-1815
    12KTP ✔ 20351221:48-2714

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
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