Oulu vs Gnistan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Oulu - Gnistan
Result
2:3
10/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
  • Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)
Oulu - Gnistan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.07
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
67% (258/387)59% (172/291)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.011.77
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
712
Passes
67% (258/387)59% (172/291)
Long passes
27% (23/85)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
56% (57/101)45% (60/134)
Crosses
15% (3/20)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.69
Throw-ins
3437
Fouls
127
Tackles
62% (8/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4650
Clearances
4438
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.772.01
Goals prevented
-1.230.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Leppalahti J. 🟨,
  • 35', Vayrynen T. 🟨,
  • 44', Heiskanen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Koskela M. , Kaukua T. (A),
  • 50', 2 - 0, Kaukua T. , Jokelainen N. (A),
  • 57', Heiskanen S. , Hafstad D. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Arko-Mensah E. , Eremenko R. (A),
  • 64', Hanninen V. , Europaeus G. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Arko-Mensah E. , Eremenko R. (A),
  • 72', Dumbuya A. , Barrow D. ,
  • 81', Jokelainen N. , Ojala M. ,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Hafstad D. , Arko-Mensah E. (A),
  • 89', Latonen J. , Vauhkonen E. ,
  • 89', Paananen J. , Korkko J. ,
  • 90+3', Arko-Mensah E. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Rennicks J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oulu
30.8%
Draw
28.2%
Gnistan
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 27.7% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 27.6% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Oulu - Gnistan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.66)
    3.37
    (3.41)
    2.33
    (2.58)
    5.1%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Oulu - Gnistan?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Oulu has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Oulu: Eskelinen W. (Red Card) Holtta S. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa (Knee Injury) Pettersson O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - Gnistan were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Gnistan - Oulu 1:0
    18.08.2024 Gnistan - Oulu 2:0
    11.05.2024 Oulu - Gnistan 1:1
    Latest results of Oulu
    07.05.2025 JS Hercules - Oulu 1:5
    02.05.2025 KTP Kotka - Oulu 1:3
    26.04.2025 Oulu - Inter Turku 1:4
    23.04.2025 SJK - Oulu 3:1
    19.04.2025 Haka - Oulu 2:1
    Latest results of Gnistan
    03.05.2025 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    27.04.2025 Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    22.04.2025 HJK - Gnistan 0:1
    12.04.2025 Inter Turku - Gnistan 3:0
    05.04.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS871016:41222
    2Inter Turku743016:61015
    3SJK842213:10314
    4Ilves740316:12412
    5VPS732211:12-111
    6HJK731313:8510
    7Gnistan731311:12-110
    8Mariehamn83149:14-510
    9Haka721410:13-37
    10Jaro72146:9-37
    11KTP71157:20-134
    12AC Oulu810711:19-83

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

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