Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators
Result
5:4 OT
03/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3721
Shots off target
2113
Shooting PCT
13.51% (5/37)19.05% (4/21)
Blocked shots
914
Goalkeeper Saves
1732
Saves PCT
80.95% (17/21)86.49% (32/37)
Penalties
44
PIM
1111
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)50% (2/4)
Hits
2414
Faceoffs Won
2813
Faceoffs %
68.2931.71
Giveaways
2115
Takeaways
35
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 03:34, 0 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Cousins N. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
  • 05:03, 1 - 1, Draisaitl L. (G), Ekholm M. (A), Savoie M. (A2)
  • 05:39, Bouchard E. (2 min),
  • 06:34, 1 - 2, Batherson D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
  • 08:00, Greig R. (5 min),
  • 08:00, Podkolzin V. (2 min),
  • 08:00, Podkolzin V. (5 min),
  • 10:36, Nurse D. (2 min),
  • 16:48, 2 - 2, Draisaitl L. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 04:30, 2 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Stutzle T. (A),
  • 05:11, 2 - 4, Amadio M. (G), Jensen N. (A),
  • 12:17, Kleven T. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:38, Pinto S. (2 min),
  • 01:52, 3 - 4, Nugent-Hopkins R. (G), McDavid C. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
  • 18:35, 4 - 4, Hyman Z. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 01:05, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
  • 01:50, 5 - 4, Bouchard E. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Edmonton Oilers
40%
Draw
22.6%
Ottawa Senators
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 22.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 21% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edmonton Oilers's form might have worsened.
  • Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.07)
    4.15
    (4.34)
    2.5
    (3.02)
    6.1%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    What is the prediction for Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators?
    • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 41.6%98.4%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • H/A, 3rd Period - Edmonton (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Edmonton Oilers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Ottawa (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 4.
    • Edmonton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Edmonton: Janmark M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Matinpalo N. (Injury) Perron D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 81:53. (average 4.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:32. (average 4.5:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers 2:3
    22.12.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators 3:1
    19.11.2024 Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers 2:5
    24.03.2024 Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers 5:3
    06.01.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators 3:1
    Latest results of Edmonton Oilers
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche65395912247:16397
    2Dallas Stars663391014232:17894
    3Minnesota Wild6825131218226:19688
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Vegas Golden Knights672381422220:20976
    6Edmonton Oilers68258926238:23275
    7Utah Mammoth67268627208:18874
    8Seattle Kraken66256926191:19971
    9San Jose Sharks652012627204:22970
    10Los Angeles Kings6617101524176:20069
    11Nashville Predators66227928195:22567
    12Winnipeg Jets662351028188:20266
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks661871130175:21361
    15Calgary Flames66224733165:20759
    16Vancouver Canucks66137838171:24648


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes663111618234:19290
    2Buffalo Sabres67347620235:20088
    3Tampa Bay Lightning65319421231:18284
    4Montreal Canadiens6625111020233:22082
    5Pittsburgh Penguins662851518223:20281
    6New York Islanders672414524197:19181
    7Boston Bruins662710623219:20780
    8Detroit Red Wings672511823195:20180
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6623111121212:20879
    10Ottawa Senators66286923225:20577
    11Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    12Washington Capitals68285827212:20374
    13Toronto Maple Leafs682181227215:23870
    14Florida Panthers66267330199:22069
    15New Jersey Devils662211231176:20168
    16New York Rangers66199830189:20564

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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