Result
2:0
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : LaLiga - Round 4
- Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (230/303) | 87% (472/540) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (230/303) | 87% (472/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 62% (36/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (53/81) | 77% (142/184) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Luiz Felipe ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
- 15', 1 - 0, Garcia R. ⚽,
- 24', Oroz A. 🟨,
- 43', Catena A. 🟨,
- 43', Palazon I. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ciss P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Garcia R. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
- 60', Munoz V. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
- 65', Lopez U. ↓, Alemao ↑,
- 65', Garcia A. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
- 71', Oroz A. ↓, Benito I. ↑,
- 72', Bretones A. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 0, Benito I. ⚽, Moncayola J. (A),
- 81', Lejeune F. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
- 81', Diaz P. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Osasuna
61.7% | Draw
29.6% | Rayo Vallecano
8.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osasuna's performance.Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-20.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+21.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.38) |
5.23 ↑
(3.31) |
19.17 ↑
(3.15) |
-32.3%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 22.2% – 59.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.
- In recent matches, Osasuna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rayo Vallecano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Osasuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Osasuna has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Osasuna: Gomez M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Osasuna: Rosier V.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Rayo Vallecano?
Osasuna has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Osasuna?
Rayo Vallecano has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
19.01.2025
Osasuna
-
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
16.09.2024
Rayo Vallecano
-
Osasuna
3:1
20.04.2024
Rayo Vallecano
-
Osasuna
2:1
15.12.2023
Osasuna
-
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
14.04.2023
Rayo Vallecano
-
Osasuna
2:1
Latest results of Osasuna
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 13 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Elche | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Betis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Getafe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Alaves | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Valencia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atl. Madrid | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | R. Oviedo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Girona | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:15 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
Which TV channels are streaming of Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Albania | SuperSport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bangladesh | Begin |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
 China | iQIYI |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Maldives | ICE Xtra, Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
