Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).

: LaLiga - Round 36
Referee: Melero M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	1.04
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
76% (220/291)	89% (483/544)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	1.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	1.34
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
11	23
Accurate through passes
0	3
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
76% (220/291)	89% (483/544)
Long passes
47% (27/58)	60% (21/35)
Passes in final third
56% (44/79)	78% (150/192)
Crosses
45% (5/11)	32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	2.30
Throw-ins
16	20
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
62% (8/13)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
38	41
Clearances
31	20
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.34	1.29
Goals prevented
1.34	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Catena A. ⚽, Zaragoza B. (A),
25', de Paul R. 🟨,
40', Ibanez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Galan J. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
46', Simeone G. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
52', Barrios P. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
60', Pena R. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
63', Alvarez J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
64', Koke ↓, Correa A. ↑,
67', Sorloth A. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
71', Ibanez P. ↓, Moncayola J. ↑,
72', Zaragoza B. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
81', Cruz J. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Budimir A. ⚽, Barja K. (A),
88', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
88', Oroz A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Osasuna
26.6%

Draw
28.1%

Atlético Madrid
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.8%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Osasuna - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.86)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	2.12 ↑ (2.04)	4.1% (3.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Osasuna - Atlético Madrid?

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 7 - 13%). Atlético will win (votes: 37 - 68.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 56.1% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Atlético (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Atlético is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Osasuna: Garcia R. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:37. (average 0.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.4:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Osasuna won against Atlético Madrid?

Osasuna has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Osasuna?

Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Osasuna - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

12.01.2025 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0

19.05.2024 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:4

28.09.2023 Osasuna - Atlético Madrid 0:2

21.05.2023 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 3:0

29.01.2023 Osasuna - Atlético Madrid 0:1

Latest results of Osasuna

11.05.2025 Betis - Osasuna 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Villarreal - Osasuna 4:2 ✺

24.04.2025 Osasuna - Sevilla 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Valladolid - Osasuna 2:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Osasuna - Girona 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

10.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 0:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Valladolid 4:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Elche	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Levante	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Girona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	R. Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Osasuna - Atlético Madrid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online