Châteauroux vs Orleans: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Châteauroux 46.8%

Draw 26.7%

Orleans 26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Châteauroux 33.4%

Draw 28.2%

Orleans 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Châteauroux 32.6%

Draw 27.6%

Orleans 39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Châteauroux's performance.

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orleans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orleans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Châteauroux - Orleans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.78)	3.46 ↑ (3.29)	3.5 ↑ (2.42)	8.1% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Châteauroux - Orleans?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1.
Châteauroux has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Orleans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Châteauroux will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Châteauroux won against Orleans?

Châteauroux has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orleans won against Châteauroux?

Orleans has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Châteauroux - Orleans were as follows:

17.01.2025 Orleans - Châteauroux 1:1

02.03.2024 Châteauroux - Orleans 2:1

22.09.2023 Orleans - Châteauroux 2:2

21.07.2023 Châteauroux - Orleans 0:2

24.02.2023 Châteauroux - Orleans 1:1

Latest results of Châteauroux

02.05.2025 Châteauroux - Dijon 3:3 ✺

25.04.2025 Aubagne - Châteauroux 6:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Châteauroux - Sochaux 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Nancy - Châteauroux 1:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Châteauroux - Villefranche 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Orleans

02.05.2025 Aubagne - Orleans 1:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Orleans - Nancy 1:5 ✺

18.04.2025 Paris 13 Atletico - Orleans 0:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Orleans - Le Mans 1:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Orleans - Quevilly 0:0 ✺

French National League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nancy ✔	30	19	4	7	49:24	25	61
2	Le Mans	30	16	7	7	44:29	15	55
3	Boulogne	30	14	10	6	42:33	9	52
4	Dijon	30	12	11	7	36:30	6	47
5	Aubagne	30	12	6	12	39:32	7	42
6	Orleans	30	11	9	10	40:39	1	42
7	Bourg en Bresse	30	10	10	10	23:27	-4	40
8	Concarneau	30	10	9	11	42:42	0	39
9	Valenciennes	30	9	12	9	32:32	0	39
10	Sochaux	30	8	14	8	29:28	1	38
11	Rouen	30	9	11	10	39:36	3	38
12	Versailles	31	8	12	11	41:42	-1	36
13	Villefranche	31	7	13	11	29:36	-7	34
14	Quevilly Rouen	30	9	7	14	29:41	-12	34
15	Paris 13 Atl	30	6	13	11	28:35	-7	31
16	Chateauroux	30	7	8	15	37:61	-24	29
17	Nimes	30	6	10	14	22:34	-12	28

      Promotion ~ Ligue 2
      Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Nancy is Qualified for Ligue 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Châteauroux - Orleans?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: