North Carolina Courage vs Orlando Pride: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer NWSL North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride
Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
  • Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)
North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.96
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
77% (259/338)89% (507/572)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.37
Total shots
715
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1235
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
811
Passes
77% (259/338)89% (507/572)
Long passes
36% (17/47)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
58% (35/60)76% (120/158)
Crosses
31% (4/13)25% (9/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.18
Throw-ins
1630
Fouls
118
Tackles
67% (12/18)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3837
Clearances
3111
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.371.16
Goals prevented
-0.630.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rauch F. ,
  • 33', Abello K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Matsukubo M. 🟨,
  • 61', Koyama S. , Shaw J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez O. , Watt A. ,
  • 68', Abello K. , Sams E. ,
  • 77', Sanchez A. , Lussi T. ,
  • 77', Matsukubo M. , Betfort H. ,
  • 77', Pickett C. , Lemos A. ,
  • 77', Gautrat M. , Chilufya P. ,
  • 83', Chavoshi Z. , Dyke C. ,
  • 90+1', Rauch F. , Aline Gomes ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Chilufya P. , Angelina (A),

Chances of winning


North Carolina Courage
25.3%
Draw
27.6%
Orlando Pride
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 28.7% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 28.3% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (3.28)
    3.32
    (3.18)
    1.95
    (2.1)
    9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Orlando Pride may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orlando Pride will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:7. (average 2.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride were as follows:
    20.07.2024 North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride 2:1
    15.06.2024 North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride 0:0
    01.05.2024 Orlando Pride - North Carolina Courage 4:1
    17.09.2023 Orlando Pride - North Carolina Courage 2:1
    29.07.2023 North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride 5:0
    Latest results of North Carolina Courage
    Latest results of Orlando Pride
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W17141234:102443
    2Washington Spirit W1794428:24431
    3San Diego Wave W1685328:181029
    4Orlando Pride W1784522:13928
    5Portland Thorns W1775525:19626
    6Seattle Reign W1674524:20425
    7Racing Louisville W1664622:27-522
    8Gotham W1756620:16421
    9North Carolina Courage W1756623:26-321
    10Angel City W1755722:27-520
    11Houston Dash W1653819:26-718
    12Bay FC W1745820:25-517
    13Chicago W1717918:35-1710
    14Utah Royals W17151112:31-198

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
    usaUsaion TV, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV
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