Result
1:2 penalties
23/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : MTN 8 Cup - Semi-finals
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 0.86 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (295/363) | 74% (202/274) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 0.86 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.44 | 1.23 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 8 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
81% (295/363) | 74% (202/274) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (36/60) | 46% (24/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (42/73) | 58% (59/102) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (1/6) | 32% (8/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.83 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (14/23) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.23 | 0.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.23 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Rayners I. ⚽,
- 38', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Shandu B. ↑,
- 42', Rayners I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Nduli S. 🟨,
- 62', Makgopa E. ↓, Mabasa T. ↑,
- 62', Nduli S. ↓, Mariko A. ↑,
- 65', Matthews T. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
- 71', Williams R. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Sebelebele K. ⚽, Mabasa T. (A),
- 78', Maseko T. 🟨,
- 80', Kekana G. ↓, Lebusa M. ↑,
- 80', Adams J. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
- 80', Arthur Sales ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
- 86', Appollis O. ↓, Kwayiba S. ↑,
- 86', Mbatha T. ↓, Mbule S. ↑,
- 86', Rayners I. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 4)
- 1, Hotto D. (Pen),
- 1, Mokoena T. (Pen),
- 2, Mariko A. (Pen),
- 2, Allende M. (Pen),
- 3, Mbule S. (Pen),
- 3, Mothiba L. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mamelodi Sundowns 49.8% | Draw 28.3% | Orlando Pirates 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-2%)
Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.77) |
3.15 ↓ (3.22) |
4.09 ↓ (4.34) |
12% (10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1.
- Mamelodi Sundowns is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orlando Pirates's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the team to beat.
- We predict that Mamelodi Sundowns will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Orlando Pirates?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates were as follows:
16.08.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
16.03.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
2:0
08.02.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
4:1
01.06.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
1:2
17.02.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
1:1
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Latest results of Orlando Pirates
Draw
2025Quarter-finals1 | Orlando Pirates | Polokwane | 2 : 0 |
2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay | 4 : 0 |
3 | Stellenbosch | AmaZulu | 3 : 2 |
4 | Sekhukhune | TS Galaxy | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Orlando Pirates | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
2 | Stellenbosch | Sekhukhune | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
Final1 | Orlando Pirates | Stellenbosch | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: